Thursday, February 25, 2016

Oil turns higher, pushes world stock markets up

So it seems there's a meeting brewing in Venezuela in a couple weeks in which a number of major oil nations including Russia and Saudi Arabia will be gathering to discuss the global oil glut and strategize how to stabilize the petroleum markets.  Thus lies the explanation for yesterday's rally and today's that shot the Dow up another 212 points.  Also boosting U.S. markets was positive data on durable goods pointing to a recovery in manufacturing.  Hence we had a good day, with a hint towards much better days if this conference yields any fruit.  Volume was decent at 7.3 billion shares.

Markets | Thu Feb 25, 2016 4:27pm EST

Oil turns higher, pushes world stock markets up

NEW YORK | BY DION RABOUIN

DJ:  16,697.29  +212.30           NAS:  4,582.21  +39.60       S&P:  1,951.70  +21.90 

(Reuters)  Global equity markets got a boost from an upturn in crude oil on Thursday as the market focused on an upcoming meeting of major oil producers that investors hope could stabilize volatile petroleum markets.  U.S. stock indexes were also buoyed by robust data on durable goods orders that pointed to a recovery in the struggling manufacturing sector.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 212.37 points, or 1.29 percent, to 16,697.36, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 21.93 points, or 1.14 percent, to 1,951.73 and the Nasdaq Composite.IXIC added 39.60 points, or 0.87 percent, to 4,582.21.
Crude oil futures rose more than 2 percent after Venezuela reaffirmed an oil producers meeting in mid-March that would include Saudi Arabia, Russia and Qatar. Prior to the announcement, oil was down as much as 3 percent.
The sharp turn was more of "an emotional move, people thinking they're going to miss the boat," said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors Inc in San Antonio, about the gains in oil.  "People are trying to stay one step ahead, thinking they know what the decision of OPEC will be."  U.S. crude futures CLc1 settled up 92 cents, or 2.9 percent, at $33.07 a barrel.  Brent crude futures LCOc1 finished up 88 cents, or 2.6 percent, at $35.29 a barrel, hitting a three-week high.
European equity markets rose Thursday, rebounding from this week's losses that had been spurred by fears of Britain exiting the European Union.
Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3, which has lost almost 4 percent since Tuesday, was up 2 percent as risk appetite returned.
Equity markets and oil prices have moved in sync this year so far, but analysts say they expect the two to decouple in the not-too-distant future.  MSCI's gauge of global stock markets .MIWD00000PUS was up 1.1 percent.  Markets' appetite for risk pushed traders out of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen, which fell 0.6 percent against the dollar.
Britain's sterling rose 0.3 percent to $1.3970 GBP=D4, taking a breath from a 5-percent fall since early this month on fears that a public vote on June 23 could see Britain become the first country to quit the 28-member European Union.
The dollar struggled to make much headway overall due to doubts over whether the Fed will raise rates at all this year. The euro edged up 0.15 percent to $1.1027 EUR=EBS. The dollar index .DXY, which measures the greenback against six major currencies was flat on the day.
Oil's recovery Thursday did help increase U.S. bond market's gauges on traders' inflation expectations to their highest levels in nearly four weeks.
Federal Reserve policymakers have been concerned about the erosion in inflation expectations which could impair efforts to boost domestic price growth to their 2-percent goal.
The yield premiums on regular U.S. Treasuries over Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, known as inflation breakeven rates, have risen from their lowest levels since early 2009 in recent days with the rebound in oil prices.

Note: Per BATS, volume was 7.3 billion. 

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