Today’s Fed minutes pretty much confirmed what
everyone was expecting which was pretty much to validate that an interest rate
hike was coming soon, perhaps as early as March since the economy is humming
along so well. There are those who
disagree though, that the political environment has created so much uncertainty
that more jobs and controlled inflation are no longer a given and that more
time is needed, therefore no hike yet.
This of course is what the Fed has been so very careful to balance, to
not commit to any hike until the economy is ready for one, and the skeptics are
saying that the market is saying that the economy is not yet ready for
one. After a nearly a fifty point plunge
followed by a nearly 90 point gain, the Dow ended up a modest 32 points. But anything up is still a new record so the
index has now recorded its 9th consecutive record high, something
that has not happened in 30 years. The
6.5 billion share volume was a little below recent averages.
Dow notches another record high helped by DuPont; S&P
slips
DJ: 20,775.60 +32.60 NAS: 5,860.63
-5.32 S&P: 2,362.82
-2.56 2/22
(Reuters) The S&P 500 ended modestly weaker on
Wednesday, holding losses after minutes from the Federal Reserve's last meeting
kept alive a potential near-term interest rate hike, while DuPont shares helped
the Dow close at an all-time high for a ninth straight session. The major U.S. indexes are trading around
record highs, driven up since President Donald Trump's Nov. 8 election by the
promise of lower taxes, reduced regulations and higher infrastructure spending.
Many
Fed policymakers said it may be appropriate to raise rates again "fairly
soon" should jobs and inflation data come in line with expectations,
according to the minutes of the Fed's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 discussion released on
Wednesday.
Ahead
of the release of the minutes, traders were expecting a 27-percent chance of a rate hike at the Fed's
March meeting, and a 53-percent chance in May, according to Thomson
Reuters data.
Separately
on Wednesday, Fed Governor Jerome Powell said it will be appropriate for the
U.S. central bank to raise rates "perhaps relatively soon." Chair
Janet Yellen said last week the Fed will likely need to raise rates at an
upcoming meeting.
Recent
comments by Yellen and other Fed officials appear to suggest the Fed could raise rates at its
March meeting, but the "market is not there", said Walter Todd, chief
investment officer with Greenwood Capital in Greenwood, South Carolina.
"I
don’t see anything in the minutes that changed that narrative," Todd said.
The Fed "is trying to give itself maximum flexibility to move and the market is kind of stubbornly
saying 'You're not going in March'."
The S&P 500 .SPX lost 2.56
points, or 0.11 percent, to 2,362.82 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 5.32
points, or 0.09 percent, to 5,860.63. The S&P
energy sector .SPNY fell 1.6 percent as oil prices CLc1 LCOc1 dropped.
"It’s
just a little breather," said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at
Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. "You are coming off a
really strong period for stocks so to have a little bit of a respite today is
not unusual."
But the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 32.6
points, or 0.16 percent, to 20,775.6. The
Dow closed at an all-time high for a ninth straight session, the longest such
streak since January 1987.
The
Dow was buoyed by a
3.4-percent gain in DuPont (DD.N) shares. The
company is set to win antitrust approval from European Union regulators for its
$130 billion merger with Dow Chemical (DOW.N), sources told
Reuters. Dow Chemical's shares rose 4 percent.
A
solid corporate earnings season has also encouraged investors. Profits for S&P 500
companies are on track to rise 7.6 percent in the fourth quarter, the best
quarterly growth since the third quarter of 2014, according to Thomson
Reuters I/B/E/S.
Toll
Brothers (TOL.N) shares rose 6.1
percent after the luxury homebuilder reported higher-than-expected quarterly
profit and revenue.
Declining
issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq,
a 1.51-to-1 ratio favored decliners.
The
S&P 500 posted 57 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite
recorded 143 new highs and 31 new lows.
About
6.5 billion shares changed
hands in U.S. exchanges, below the 6.8 billion daily average over the
last 20 sessions.
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