Yesterday the Dow shot up a big 205 on expectations of a terrific Q4, reporting of which started today.  Today it kicked off with a bang which sent the index flying up another 228 points with the S&P and Nasdaq correspondingly registering both their 8^th consecutive highs.  Q4 forecast has now been raised from an 11.8% increase two days ago to 12.1% today, 13.2% for the financial sector.  Again, at 6.8 billion, volume was a little higher than the recent average, but you’d think that with all this wild optimism it’d be going much higher.  There obviously remain concerns that valuations are way too high and a correction is in our future. 

fri  JANUARY 12, 2018 / 4:47 pM

Wall St. hits new highs on earnings optimism, data

Sinead Carew

DJ: 25,803.19  +228.46        NAS: 7,261.06  +49.29          S&P:  2,786.24  +18.68     1/12

(Reuters) - Wall Street continued its rally on Friday with record closing highs as the fourth-quarter earnings season kicked off with solid results from banks and robust retail sales drove investor optimism about economic growth.  The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both registered their eight record closing highs out of the first nine trading days of 2018, while the Dow boasted its sixth closing high of the year.

JPMorgan (JPM.N), the biggest U.S. lender by assets, said a U.S. tax overhaul would help future profits by reducing its tax bill and stimulating more business. The bank’s shares rose 1.7 percent.

“The fact all the big money center banks beat on the bottom line is a good omen for the rest of the earnings season,” said William Lynch, director of investments at Hinsdale Associates, in Hinsdale, Illinois.  Investors were also hopeful 2018 financial forecasts from U.S. companies would beat Wall Street estimates as many analysts may not have tax savings fully reflected in their models as the tax bill was signed into law so late in December. 

“I don’t know how much of that is priced in right now,” said Stephen Massocca, senior vice president at Wedbush Securities in San Francisco. “It seems like the economy is going OK, inflation is kind of nonexistent right now, wage growth is not an issue for most income statements, so what’s not to like here.” 

Earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to increase on an average by 12.1 percent in the quarter, with profit for financial services companies likely to increase 13.2 percent, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.  BlackRock (BLK.N) rose 3.3 percent. The world’s largest asset manager reported profit that beat estimates as investors flooded into the relatively low-cost funds.  While Wells Fargo (WFC.N) earnings beat expectations, its shares slipped 0.7 percent after it set aside $3.25 billion in the fourth quarter to cover legal expenses related to probes into its mortgage and sales practices. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 228.46 points, or 0.89 percent, to 25,803.19, the S&P 500 .SPXgained 18.68 points, or 0.67 percent, to 2,786.24 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 49.29 points, or 0.68 percent, to 7,261.06.  For the week, the S&P rose 1.6 percent, compared with the Dow’s 2-percent rise and a 1.8-percent advance in the Nasdaq.

 The S&P consumer discretionary index .SPLRCD jumped 1.3 percent after retail sales data showed households bought more goods, suggesting the economy exited 2017 with strong momentum.  Amazon (AMZN.O) rose 2.2 percent to breach $1,300 for the first time. It closed at $1,305.20.  The sector was also helped by a late-afternoon Bloomberg report that activist D.E. Shaw built a position in Lowe’s Companies (LOW.N), sending its shares up 5.3 percent.  Bank stocks were helped by a rise in Treasury yields after underlying U.S. consumer prices for December posted the biggest gain in 11 months, signaling a pickup in inflation.  The Treasury move helped push the utilities sector .SPLRCU down 0.6 percent, making it the weakest performer of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.17-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.54-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 164 new 52-week highs and 12 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 222 new highs and 14 new lows.

Volume so far on U.S. exchanges was 6.88 billion shares, above the 6.39 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.