The day started in the red but quickly rose nearly 200 points before finally sinking to close just 22 up.  Again everyone is on the fence awaiting tomorrow’s Fed meeting and the G20 later this month, hoping that both will be encouraging on trade and discouraging on the general economy (and thus encouraging for rate cuts.)  As today’s expert stated, “We’re back to the idea that bad news is good news.”  The hopes for a rate cut have been the main driving force driving the S&P up 5% this month and the Fed’s Empire State gauge has business growth falling to its lowest level in 2-1/2 years, again good support for rate cuts. Until more good news is forthcoming, volume remains below average at just under 5.7 billion. 

mon  JUNE 17, 2019 / 5:25 pm 

Faith in the Fed nudges Wall Street higher

Noel Randewich

DJ:  26,112.53  +22.92        NAS:  7,845.02  +48.37        S&P:  2,889.67  +2.69       6/17

(Reuters) - Wall Street edged higher on Monday, supported by Facebook, Amazon and Apple, as investors awaited a key Federal Reserve meeting that is expected to lay the groundwork for an interest rate cut later this year.  The U.S. central bank is expected to leave borrowing costs unchanged at its two-day policy meeting starting Tuesday, but its statement will provide insight into the impact of the U.S.-China trade war, President Donald Trump’s calls for a rate cut and weaker economic data. 

With investors expecting a rate cut as early as July, the S&P 500 index has risen 5% this month after tumbling in May due to fears about the U.S.-China trade war.  Buttressing expectations of a rate cut this year, the New York Federal Reserve said its Empire State gauge of business growth in New York state posted a record fall this month to its weakest level in more than 2-1/2 years, suggesting an abrupt contraction in regional activity.  “The Empire manufacturing numbers that came out were dreadful,” said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Wealth Advisors in Chicago. “We’re back to that the idea that bad news is good news, with the Fed meeting around the corner, and that the Fed will respond with lower rates.”  The Fed’s rate-setting committee is due to release its statement at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) on Wednesday, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell holding a press conference shortly after.  The S&P banks index, which tend to benefit from a rising interest rate environment, dropped 1%, while the broader S&P 500 financial sector fell 0.93%.

Volatile investor favorites Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Netflix pushed the Nasdaq higher.  The S&P 500 was up as much as 0.36% during the session before giving up most of its gain in the final few minutes of trade.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 22.92 higher at 26,112.53 points, while the S&P 500 also gained 2.69 to close at 2,889.67.  The Nasdaq Composite added 48.37 to 7,845.02.

Keeping the gains in check for the blue-chip Dow index was a 3.5% decline in Dow Inc after brokerage BMO Capital Markets downgraded the chemicals maker’s stock to “market perform” on rising macro uncertainty.  The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 0.64%, hurt by a 2.8% decline in Advanced Micro Devices and a 2.43% fall in Lam Research. U.S. chip stocks have been whipsawed in recent weeks by uncertainty related to the trade dispute, and by Washington’s move in May to blacklist Chinese technology company Huawei.  Array Biopharma Inc surged nearly 57% after Pfizer Inc agreed to buy the drugmaker for $10.64 billion to beef up its cancer portfolio. Pfizer was mostly unchanged.

Investors are also looking forward to the G20 summit at the end of the month for an update on the progress in talks to resolve the prolonged trade war between the United States and China.  The S&P 500 posted 37 new 52-week highs and 4 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 61 new highs and 89 new lows. 

Volume so far on U.S. exchanges was 5.67 billion shares, compared to the 6.77 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.