Today the market finally woke up to the reality that all the early lifting of restrictions and all the defiance of social distancing is going to bring dire consequences as all three indexes dove on news of the second largest rise in infections since the beginning of the pandemic, the Dow down 710 points.  Bad data too with the IMF revising its 2020 contraction of U.S. output from 6% to 8% and the VIX rising to 33.8 points.  The S&P and Dow are now 10 and 14% below their records.  Volume was right in line with recent averages at 13.3 billion. 

wed  JUNE 24, 2020 / 4:45 pm 

Wall Street finishes lower on rising virus cases, weak economic view

Sinéad Carew, Chuck Mikolajczak

DJ: 26,156.10  +131.14       NAS:  10,131.37  +74.89       S&P:  3,131.29  +13.43     6/23

DJ: 25,445.94  -710.16        NAS:  9,909.17  -222.20        S&P:  3,050.33  -80.96      6/24

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street’s three major indexes on Wednesday suffered their biggest daily percentage drop in almost two weeks as a surge in U.S. coronavirus cases intensified fears of another round of government lockdowns and worsening economic damage.  Nasdaq, which had registered its fifth record closing high on Tuesday, snapped an eight-day wining streak, which was its longest since December 2019.  The session marked the biggest percentage decline for all three indexes, including a 2.6% drop for the S&P 500, since June 11 when the S&P fell 5.89%.

The United States has recorded the second-largest rise in infections since the health crisis began, with a flare-up of cases in states where restrictions meant to contain the disease were lifted early.  The governors of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut announced that visitors from states with high coronavirus infection rates must self-quarantine for 14 days on arrival.  “Today was finally the day markets came to terms with the fact that increasing COVID-19 cases could mean a slower recovery in the economy,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities in New York.

The pandemic appeared to be causing wider and deeper damage to economic activity than first thought. The IMF said it now expects global output to shrink by 4.9%, compared with a 3.0% contraction predicted in April.  Advanced economies have been particularly hard hit, with U.S. output now expected to shrink 8.0%, more than two percentage points worse than the April forecast.  Shares of U.S. airlines, resorts and cruise operators slumped as travel was hit hard by lockdowns. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd and Wynn Resorts all tumbled along with the NYSE Arca Airline index.  Cruise operator Carnival Corp fell 11% as it also faced a Standard & Poor’s credit rating downgrade for its bonds to junk status.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 710.16 points, or 2.72%, to 25,445.94, the S&P 500 lost 80.96 points, or 2.59%, to 3,050.33 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 222.20 points, or 2.19%, to 9,909.17.  The S&P 500 finished the session about 10% under its Feb. 19 closing record high while the Dow Jones Industrials was about 14% from its Feb. 12 record close.

Wall Street’s fear gauge, the CBOE volatility index, closed 2.47 points higher at 33.84.  Before Wednesday’s sell-off, a slate of better-than-feared economic reports, easing lockdowns and massive stimulus measures had powered the Nasdaq to an all-time high and put the benchmark S&P 500 on track for its best quarterly performance since 1998.  “The market seemed pretty confident we were going to be in much better shape in 4-6 months from now. With the resurgence of cases, they’re starting to discount that,” said Shawn Cruz, senior manager for trader strategy at TD Ameritrade in Jersey City, New Jersey.

The biggest decliner among the 11 major S&P sub-sectors was energy, down 5.5%, as crude prices slumped on news of record storage and concerns about demand.  Utilities, down 0.9%, showed the smallest percentage decline as it is seen as a defensive sector with predictable revenue.  Dell Technologies Inc shares jumped 8.3% after a report said the company was considering spinning off its roughly $50 billion stake in cloud computing software maker VMware Inc. VMware rose 2.3%.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 6.84-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 4.58-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 11 new lows.

On U.S. exchanges 13.35 billion shares changed hands compared with the 13.31 billion average for the last 20 sessions.