Bouncy bouncy! First,we’re moving out of tech and into value, then back into value. Today it was back into both tech and value, tech for the bargains and value because of the string of good reports on the modest growth of business activity and employment.  With the Dow up 454 points today, the blue chips are now just 1.6% below their February record and the Nasdaq almost 23% above its pre-crisis record. But the big rotation today was into defensive stocks (utilities, consumer staples, and real estate) which become the safest bet when the rest of market is mellowing. Private payrolls did increase in August but not as much as forecast which is why, as usual, the big eyes are on Friday’s government jobs report, which is expected to reflect the hiring slowdown in July and August.  For once, volume was a little above average at 9.8 billion. 

wed  SEPTEMBER 2, 2020 / 5:54 pm 

Wall Street closes higher with defensive bets out front

Sinéad Carew

DJ: 28,645.66  +215.61       NAS: 11,939.67  +164.21       S&P: 3,526.65  +26.34     9/1

DJ: 29,100.50  +454.84       NAS: 12,056.44  +116.78       S&P: 3,580.84  +54.19     9/2

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Wednesday for the ninth time in the past 10 sessions, with defensive and value stocks taking their turns to lead the gains after data showed U.S. private payrolls expanded last month, but at a much slower pace than expected.  The indexes gained steam in afternoon trading and hit session highs in the final half hour.  The Federal Reserve’s “Beige Book” report showed a modest increase in activity for U.S. businesses and an increase in employment through late August, while economic growth remained sluggish in parts of the country.

The blue-chip Dow edged closer to its Feb. 12 record high, coming in just 1.6% below the milestone while the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which closed the session almost 23% above its pre-crisis high, rose at a slower pace on Wednesday.  While much of the rally from March lows has already been fueled by Federal Reserve support, Lindsey Bell, chief investment strategist at Ally Invest, said investors may still be digesting the central bank’s policy announcement last week which indicated continued support.   “What you’re seeing today is a bit of a rotation after yesterday’s blockbuster day,” said Bell. “Unless you really think tech is going to completely crash it can take a breather and allow some of the other value-oriented and cyclical sectors to take the reins for a while.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 454.84 points, or 1.59%, to close at 29,100.5, the S&P 500 gained 54.19 points, or 1.54%, to 3,580.84 and the Nasdaq Composite added 116.78 points, or 0.98%, to 12,056.44.  In comparison the S&P value index rose 1.8% while the growth index added 1.4%.

The defensive utilities, consumer staples and real estate, which have trailed the broader market this year, were some of the biggest gainers among major S&P sectors on Wednesday, rising between 2% and a little over 3%. Health stocks also closed up 2%.  Financials, a value sector which has also sharply underperformed this year, closed up 1.5% on Wednesday.  The high-flying technology sector ended the day up 0.9%, but at least one trader said investors showed up looking for bargains after it had turned negative in the morning.  “It’s buy the dip. Tech got wrecked in the morning and then everyone said this was their big chance to jump in,” said Dennis Dick, a proprietary trader at Bright Trading LLC in Las Vegas.

U.S. private payrolls increased last month from July, according to the ADP report, but fell short of economists’ forecast. Investors are now waiting for the government’s comprehensive employment report which is slated for Friday.  Janet Walker, senior portfolio manager at Abbot Downing in San Francisco, expects Friday’s government payroll numbers to also reflect a stalling from July to August. As a result she says it will be important for U.S. lawmakers to reach an agreement for a new fiscal coronavirus relief bill.  Weakness in the jobs report “could become a bigger risk if there’s a delay in stimulus,” she said. “For us to continue to recover we’re going to need to see additional stimulus.”

Nvidia Corp, one of the benchmark’s biggest boosts on Wednesday, gained after several brokerages hiked their price targets on its shares after its announcement of powerful gaming chips in collaboration with Micron Technology Inc and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.91-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.56-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 89 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 148 new highs and 45 new lows.

On U.S. exchanges 9.85 billion shares changed hands compared with the 9.12 billion average for the last 20 sessions.