It was another day of panic selling after Janet Yellen made some rather benign comments about inflation that got interpreted that interest rate hikes might be in our future. This was despite her saying, “It may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure our economy doesn’t overheat, even though the additional spending is rather small relative to the size of the economy.” So even though she said quite directly that this will be a minor problem if indeed it turns out to be any problem at all, it sent everyone screaming towards the gates. The good news is that there was yet another migration away from tech and towards value which further validates the market’s optimism over recovery. The Q1 profit forecast has now been raised to 47.7% which is quite remarkable seeing that it was just 24% in early April and even at 24% investors thought it was wildly optimistic. It seems just in the last couple days that skepticism has finally been diminishing as reflected in today’s volume of 12.2 billion, the highest in a month.
Tue May 4, 2021 5:54 PM EDT
Nasdaq
ends sharply lower in tech stock sell-off
Shreyashi
Sanyal, Krystal Hu
DJ: 34,113.23 +238.38 NAS: 13,895.12 -67.56 S&P: 4,192.66 +11.49 5/3
DJ: 34,133.03 +19.80 NAS: 13,633.50 -261.62 S&P: 4,164.66
-28.00 5/4
The Nasdaq ended sharply lower on
Tuesday as investors dumped megacap growth stocks to seek shelter in more
defensive parts of the market, amid concerns on rising interest rate and
uncertainty over an upcoming jobs report.
Highly valued technology-related companies including Microsoft
Corp (MSFT.O), Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O),
Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) and
Facebook Inc (FB.O) sold off across the
board, with Apple falling the most by 3.54%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor
Index (.SOX) also
dropped by 1.6%.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.21
billion shares, the highest
in over a month. "When we have
pauses or pullbacks, people tend to move out of growth stocks into more
defensive names," said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and
derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas. Materials (.SPLRCM) and financials (.SPSY) extended their Monday gains, up by
1% and 0.7%, respectively, as investors continued to rotate money into cyclical
sectors.
The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped
261.62 points, or 1.88%, to 13,633.50, while the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost
28 points, or 0.67%, to 4,164.66. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) pared
its earlier losses and closed slightly higher, rising 19.8 points, or 0.06%, to
34,133.03.
Comments
by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen
on the potential need for interest rate hikes further exacerbated the tech
sell-off, as investors worry higher rates would weigh on valuations of
growth companies. "It may be that interest rates
will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat, even
though the additional spending is relatively small relative to the size of the
economy," she said in taped comments at a virtual event by The
Atlantic. "Wall Street won’t find out if the Fed is
making a policy mistake until several months down the road and that is making
some traders nervous," Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda
wrote in a note, adding investors look for clarity on economic recovery from
Friday’s nonfarm payroll report. Fiscal
stimulus, rapid vaccinations and the Federal Reserve's accommodative stance
have spurred a strong rebound in the U.S. economy and pushed Wall Street to
record highs this year. The so-called "pandemic winners," however,
have recently started to fall out of favor.
Among
individual stocks, CVS Health Corp (CVS.N) gained 4.4%after reporting a
first-quarter profit above analysts’ estimates and raising its 2021
forecast. Gartner (IT.N) was the largest percentage gainer on the S&P
500, jumping 14.2% after better-than-expected first-quarter earnings. In extended trade, T-Mobile (TMUS.O) rose 2.8% after the telecom firm
raised its full-year postpaid subscriber net addition forecast.
Results
in this earnings season so far have been largely upbeat. Average profits at S&P 500
companies are expected to
have risen 47.7% in the quarter, compared with forecasts of a 24% growth
at the start of April, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.47-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.60-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 97 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 109 new highs and 99 new lows.
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