Today was just like yesterday except instead of closing a little in the black, the Dow closed a little in the red. And the Nasdaq and S&P tech heavy sectors again closed rather heavily in the red. All this volatility is coming from the fears of Wednesday’s report of today’s Fed meeting. But it was a direct reflection of Monday with the Dow down over a thousand points in the morning and then rebounding the entire thing by late afternoon plus a couple hundred points to spare, only today it reversed again in the final hour.  

Investors are torn between selling and preserving their capital and buying the dip, reflected by the VIX which was at its highest in a year. The good news is that Q4 is in full swing with 79 companies reporting and 81% exceeding forecasts. The Q4 growth forecast has now been upped to 24.1% vs yesterday’s 23.7 percent and on still considerable volume of 13.1 billion. 

Tue  January 25, 2022  7:08 PM

Wall Street ends down as markets whipsaw ahead of Fed meeting

By Stephen Culp

DJ: 34,364.50  +99.13         NAS: 13,855.13  +86.21        S&P: 4,410.13  +12.19     1/24

DJ: 34,297.73  -66.77          NAS: 13,539.30  -315.83       S&P: 4,356.45  -53.68      1/25

NEW YORK, Jan 25 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks gyrated in afternoon trading to close lower with interest rate sensitive tech stocks weighing most heavily as uncertainties surrounding an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve and rising geopolitical tensions contributed to the market's churn.  In a pattern similar to Monday, U.S. stocks whipsawed between steep losses and modest gains. Equities ended well off session lows, where the S&P 500 flirted once again with confirming a correction.  All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower.  If the bellwether index closed 10% or more below its record high reached on Jan 3, it would have confirmed it entered a correction on that date. It ended the session 9.2% below that level.

"We’re floating along this arbitrary 10% line, and investors are asking. 'Is it time to protect my capital by selling or is it time to buy the dip?'," said Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. "And between yesterday with downward and upward movement you have this battle between the two."  The CBOE Market Volatility index closed at its highest level since Jan. 29, 2021.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 66.77 points, or 0.19%, to 34,297.73, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 53.68 points, or 1.22%, to 4,356.45 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 315.83 points, or 2.28%, to 13,539.30.

The members of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) convened on Tuesday for their two-day monetary policy meeting. Market participants on Wednesday will scrutinize the statement at the meeting's conclusion, along with Chairman Jerome Powell's subsequent Q&A session, for clarity regarding the central bank's timeline for hiking key interest rates to combat inflation.  "Certainly, the economic data of late shows some weakening," Martin added. "You would think there might be a more dovish message from the Fed."

Geopolitical tensions are adding to investor uncertainty, with NATO putting forces on standby and the United States putting troops on heightened alert in response to a buildup of Russian forces along Ukraine border.  Those tensions prompted a rise in crude oil prices on concerns over tightening supply, which in turn gave energy companies (.SPNY) a solid boost.  Energy was the top gainer among the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, with tech shares (.SPLRCT) suffering the largest percentage decline.

The fourth-quarter reporting season is in full-stride, with 79 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 81% have delivered better-than-expected results, according to Refinitiv. But there have been notable misses, such as Netflix .  Analysts now see aggregate S&P 500 earnings growth of 24.1% for the October-December period, per Refinitiv.

General Electric Co fell 6.0% after the industrial conglomerate, weighed down by global supply disruptions, reported a decline quarterly revenue.  IBM (IBM.N) advanced 5.7% after the IT giant beat quarterly Wall Street estimates on strength in its cloud and consulting businesses.  American Express (AXP.N) exceeded fourth-quarter profit estimates, sending the consumer credit company's stock up 8.9%, while Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) gained 2.9% after reporting it expects a jump of as much as 46% in 2022 vaccine sales.  Shares of Microsoft (MSFT.O) dropped about 5% in extended trade after the software maker reported its quarterly results.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.34-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.53-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted seven new 52-week highs and four new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 19 new highs and 134 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.13 billion shares, compared with the 11.23 billion average over the last 20 trading days.