Wall Street closes near flat as Treasury yields surge

The market swung wildly today, the Dow down some 160 points in the morning, then zooming up 230 points by 1 pm before crashing again and closing in the red. The 10-year Treasury rose to almost 4.2% today, the highest since November, and as yields go, stocks go the opposite. Today’s jobs report reaffirmed a continuing tight labor market but the big jobs report comes Friday.  The Q2 earnings forecast has today been upgraded again to a minus 5%, a huge change from last week’s minus 7.9%. Volume was considerably above average at about 12.1 billion. 

Wall Street closes near flat as Treasury yields surge

By Echo Wang

Thu August 3, 2023 4:48 PM

DJ: 35,282.52  -348.16        NAS: 13,973.45  -310.47       S&P: 4,513.39  -63.34      8/2

DJ: 35,215.89  -66.63          NAS: 13.959.72  -13.73         S&P: 4,501.89  -11.50      8/3

Aug 3 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed little changed on Thursday after a choppy trading session, as investors weighed another rise in Treasury yields with the latest batch of economic data and earnings.  The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose as high as 4.198% during the session, the highest since November, extending its climb from a day earlier following Fitch's downgrade of the top-tier U.S. credit rating. In late afternoon trade, the 10-year yield had dipped below 4.194.

“It’s really relative to just pricing against bond yields”, said Tom Hainlin, national investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis. “Higher yield on 10-year treasuries, … has challenged the attractiveness of stocks.”

A Labor Department report showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased slightly last week, while layoffs dropped to an 11-month low in July as labor market conditions remain tight.  Investors were waiting for July's jobs report, due on Friday.  Another report showed the U.S. services sector slowed in July, but businesses faced higher prices for inputs as demand continued to hold up. Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said U.S. inflation remained too high, although recent readings indicated price pressures easing. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 66.63 points, or 0.19%, to 35,215.89, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 11.5 points, or 0.25%, to 4,501.89 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 11.77 points, or 0.08%, to 13,985.21.  Eight of the eleven main S&P 500 sectors declined, with more interest rates sensitive Utilities(.SPLRCU) and Real Estate (.SPLRCR) leading losses, dropping 2.3% and 1.4% respectively. 

After the closing bell, Amazon.com(AMZN.O) shares surged when the online retailer forecast third-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations, boosted by its Prime Day sale event in July that drew price-conscious consumers to its platform.  Apple(AAPL.O) shares dipped less than 1% in extended trade after the iPhone maker reported quarterly results that beat forecasts. 

Second-quarter earnings for companies in the S&P 500 are now expected to fall 5% from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv data.

Qualcomm (QCOM.O) shares dropped 8.2% after a gloomy forecast signaled more pain for the biggest maker of smartphone chips from the ongoing slump in the consumer electronics market. PayPal Holdings (PYPL.O) tumbled 12.3% as investors were disappointed by the payments firm's quarterly operating margin, even as executives said they expect improvement.  U.S. travel stocks fell on downbeat quarterly reports from Spirit Airlines (SAVE.N) and Expedia (EXPE.O) that amplified concerns domestic demand may be easing after a strong rebound from pandemic lows. 

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.08 billion shares, compared with the 10.5 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.84-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.20-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and 6 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 88 new lows.