Monday, October 16, 2023

Wall St ends sharply higher, Treasury yields gain as earnings, data loom

All three indexes were straight up all day long, the Dow reaching a high of a +400 by 11 a.m. and then staying steady the rest of the session.  “It’s some buying the dip,” said one expert and the fact that “markets often ignore geopolitics.”  Friday Q4 optimism seemed to have vanished but today it’s back as Q3 is expected to go well and as proof that companies are doing well despite high rates. Q3 reporting continues in earnest this week with several heavy hitters as well as new data on retail sales, industrial production and housing. Volume remains below average at 9.7 billion. 


Wall St ends sharply higher, Treasury yields gain as earnings, data loom

By Stephen Culp

Mon October 16, 2023 4:50 PM

DJ: 33,670.29  +39.15        NAS: 13,407.23  -166.99        S&P: 4,327.78  -21.83      10/13

DJ: 33,984.54  +314.25      NAS: 13,567.98  +160.75       S&P: 4,373.63  +45.85     10/16

NEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - Wall Street jumped and benchmark Treasury yields climbed on Monday as investors embarked upon the first full week of third-quarter earnings while keeping a close eye on the Israel-Hamas conflict.  The three major U.S. advanced nearly 1% or more in a broad rally that favored economically sensitive transports (.DJT), consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and small caps (.RUT).  Israeli forces continued their bombardment of Gaza after efforts to arrange a cease fire stalled as the conflict entered its 10th day.

"It's a snap-back reaction to the markets," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "It's some buying the dip that's continuing here."  The Israel-Hamas "conflict appears to be escalating, and that's not bothering the market at all, and that’s not surprising because investing is buying pieces of companies and rarely has anything to do with geopolitics," Ghriskey added. "Markets often ignore geopolitics, and that confuses some people."

A spate of big-bank earnings reports on Friday marked the unofficial beginning of the third-quarter earnings season. The coming week promises to turn up the heat, with Bank of America (BAC.N), Goldman Sachs Group (GS.N), Netflix (NFLX.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and a host of heavy-hitting industrials on deck.  Economic data was sparse on Monday, with the New York Federal Reserve's Empire State index posting a shallower-than-expected decline. Retail sales, industrial production, housing starts and existing-home sales fill out the week's roster.  "There’s a good possibility that we'll see a positive earnings season and that companies are doing well despite high interest rates and fears that the Fed is going to continue raising rates," Ghriskey said. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 314.25 points, or 0.93%, to 33,984.54, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 45.85 points, or 1.06%, to 4,373.63 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 160.75 points, or 1.2%, to 13,567.98. 

U.S. Treasury yields rose as the government increased debt issuance while an expected Israeli ground invasion of Gaza kept markets in a tentative mood.  Benchmark 10-year notes last fell 20/32 in price to yield 4.7101%, from 4.629% late on FridayThe 30-year bond last fell 39/32 in price to yield 4.862%, from 4.779% late on Friday.  The greenback lost ground against a basket of world currencies while Israel's shekel weakened, briefly touching a key level of four per U.S. dollar for the first time since 2015.  The dollar index (.DXY) fell 0.43%, with the euro up 0.47% to $1.0558.  The Japanese yen strengthened 0.01% versus the greenback at 149.54 per dollar, while Sterling was last trading at $1.2215, up 0.61% on the day. 

Per the CBOE, volume came in at 9.7 billion. 


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