The market opened on great optimism jumping 130 points right out the gate, but then going into an immediate dive falling 450 points over the next few hours but then recovering more than half of that to close 206 down.  All last week I noted that investors were selling because “trade optimism” had already been priced in.  Then on Friday that seemed to reverse with yet another rally based on trade optimism.  But today we were right back to selling based on the optimism already being priced in.  Is it priced in or not?  Does it matter?  The market runs on perception and perceptions change hour by hour and day by day.  There was some weak data today but today’s expert says that the real reason for the sell off was the S&P reaching the key technical level of 2,800 in intraday trading today.  Volume was above average at 7.9 billion. 

mon  MARCH 4, 2019 / 4:48 pm 

Wall Street drops after weak data, healthcare slump

Lewis Krauskopf

DJ:  25,819.65  -206.67       NAS:  7,577.57  -17.79          S&P:  2,792.81  -10.88      3/4

(Reuters) - Wall Street’s major indexes fell on Monday, weighed down by a weak U.S. construction spending report and declines in healthcare shares, as an initial rally on optimism over a U.S.-China trade deal faded.  U.S. construction spending unexpectedly fell in December as investment in both private and public projects dropped, leading economists to expect that the government will trim its economic growth estimate for the fourth quarter.  Before turning negative, stocks had climbed following a report that U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping could reach a formal trade deal at a summit around March 27.

Optimism over the world’s two largest economies reaching a trade truce already has been a significant factor fuelling the market’s rally since late December, along with investors’ belief that the Federal Reserve will not be aggressive in raising interest rates. The S&P 500 remains up more than 11 percent in 2019.  “There has been a pricing in of this expectation throughout the early months of 2019, which is partly why you have had such a bullish market,” said Alicia Levine, chief strategist at BNY Mellon Investment Management in New York.  “The market expects a trade deal with China, so there is a little bit of sell on the news here,” added Levine, who said stocks ultimately could still move higher on a trade deal.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 206.67 points, or 0.79 percent, to 25,819.65, the S&P 500 lost 10.88 points, or 0.39 percent, to 2,792.81 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 17.79 points, or 0.23 percent, to 7,577.57.  Levine and other market watchers also pointed to the 2,800 level for the S&P 500 as a key technical level. The benchmark index rose as high as 2,816.88 during the session.   “You’d have to point the finger (for the market’s drop) at the China trade negotiations and the fact that we hit technical resistance again at 2,800 on the S&P 500,” said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

Healthcare, which has underperformed this year, was the biggest declining major S&P 500 sector, sinking 1.3 percent. Shares of UnitedHealth Group fell 4.1 percent, weighing on the Dow, while shares of other health insurers also fell sharply.  In healthcare news, Reuters reported that OxyContin maker Purdue Pharma LP is exploring filing for bankruptcy to address potentially significant liabilities from lawsuits alleging the company contributed to the opioid crisis, sending shares of some publicly-traded sellers of opioid pain treatments lower.

Still, indexes finished above their session lows. Materials rose 0.44 percent, the most among the S&P 500 sectors.  In corporate news, AT&T shares fell 2.7 percent as the company is restructuring its WarnerMedia business, according to a memo sent to employees on Monday and seen by Reuters.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.38-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.62-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 40 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 83 new highs and 32 new lows.

About 7.9 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 7.3 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.