Saturday, February 22, 2020

Choosing Between Bonds and Bond Funds

Tonight I share two recent AAII articles on a topic of interest to all of us  -- what makes the better investment -  individual bonds or bond funds.  The conclusions may surprise you. The first article is a case study comparing the two but it is rather lengthy so I'm including below only the conclusion but with a link to the entire article for those of you brave enough.  The second is a much briefer and more straightforward article by Charles Rothblut in which the title gets right to the point and says it all:  "Choosing Between Bonds and Bond Funds."  This one is included in its entirety and includes a very nice comparison chart that may be worth printing out.  Hope you're all enjoying this very pleasant mild sunny February weekend. 



Closed-End Bond Funds Versus Individual Bonds: A Case Study

by Hildy RichelsonStan Richelson


An investment in a closed-end fund is not comparable to an investment in individual muni bonds, including those held in a laddered portfolio, for the reasons stated. In our view, there are many risks, uncertainties, potential adverse tax consequences and high fees that detract from what may be perceived as a closed-end fund’s stated advantages, as this case study shows.
Both a closed-end fund’s shareholders and individual bond owners can calculate a current return. If you were to buy a 5% coupon individual bond at the start of 2017 at a premium, you would get more than a 4% current return. The current return is the coupon divided by the price. For example, the math for a 5% coupon bond trading with a price of 110 is: 5 ÷ 110 = 4.5% current return.
In the investment strategy that we follow for all of our clients in the creation of custom bond ladders, we generally will not buy an individual bond that has a rating (by Moody’s and/or S&P) of less than AA. We also buy few to no bonds from troubled states because of their poor credit situation. The reason for this is that when investors invest in individual bonds, they view them as the safest part of their investment portfolio. They do not wish to speculate with their safest investments, which is obviously sensible.
The due date of individual bonds is a guarantee of repayment unless there is a default, which is quite rare on high-quality tax-exempt bonds. The coupon and cash flow from individual bonds will not change either.
One key aspect of individual bonds is that they are self-liquidating, meaning they come due and you don’t have to find anyone to buy them. They will liquidate at face value at the earlier of either their due date or, if called, their call date.
Still, there remains an active market for closed-end bond funds. So why do people buy them?
§  Shares sell at a relatively low dollar amount, making them easily accessible to a wide variety of investors and easy to accumulate, particularly in smaller dollar amounts.
§  Share prices frequently rise following their initial listing, giving a false sense of security since they trade like stocks.
§  Shares frequently sell at a discount to face value after the initial public offering. This creates the illusion of being able to realize a gain by just holding the fund to maturity. Depending on the discount and what happens once the fund is liquidated, these expectations may or may not be met.
Hildy Richelson is president of Scarsdale Investment Group, a registered investment adviser based in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania, that specializes in fixed-income investments. Hildy and Stan Richelson are co-authors of several books on bonds, including “Bonds: The Unbeaten Path to Secure Investment Growth,” Second Edition (Bloomberg Press, 2011).Stan Richelson is a representative of Scarsdale Investment Group, a registered investment adviser based in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania, that specializes in fixed-income investments. Stan and Hildy Richelson are co-authors of several books on bonds, including “Bonds: The Unbeaten Path to Secure Investment Growth,” Second Edition (Bloomberg Press, 2011).
 
 

Choosing Between Bonds and Bond Funds

by Charles Rotblut

Charles Rotblut recently spoke at the 2019 AAII Investor Conference. If you weren't able to attend, session audio and handouts are available for purchase at www.aaii.com/investoraudio.
 
Bonds play a role in a portfolio, even when the outlook for interest rates is uncertain. They offer a lower level of volatility than stocks. Plus, bonds have historically had different return characteristics. Determining how to best get exposure to them can be a challenge, however, as there are advantages and disadvantages to choosing between bond funds and individual bonds.
Bond funds offer ease and simplicity. A bond fund gives you instant access to a diversified portfolio of bond holdings. The downside is that the typical bond fund, unlike an actual bond, never matures. The price of a fund’s shares and the cash flows you receive will depend on the bond market’s fluctuations—which are influenced by changes in interest rates—and, of course, the manager’s skill. So, bond funds lack a guaranteed rate of return. Furthermore, with a bond fund you will pay ongoing annual management expenses and have no ability to control the timing of capital gains.
Bonds offer a higher (but not absolute) level of predictability. A bond held to maturity will provide a fixed rate of return. At a pre-specified date, you will get the face (“par”) value of the bond back, typically $1,000 per bond. In addition, you will receive semiannual interest (“coupon”) payments. Both of these amounts are fixed for traditional American bonds and enable you to calculate the pretax rate of return at the time of purchase. This rate of return does not alter as long as you keep the bond to maturity. This is why some bond experts suggest buying actual bonds as opposed to bond funds.
The key is to hold the bond until it matures. Individual bonds offer limited upside, but the risk of a complete loss of your invested capital on the downside. The primary upward drivers of a bond’s price are a decline in interest rates or a credit rating upgrade. Limiting the magnitude of the upside is the fixed return that bonds offer when held to maturity. Excessively overpay for a bond and you will lose money unless you can find someone willing to pay even more. The downside is the potential for losing your entire investment if a default occurs and there are not enough assets to repay you. (A bond is essentially a loan to the issuer.) Defaults tend to be limited among high-credit-quality bonds (though they can occur).
Bonds can be more difficult to buy than stocks. A single company may issue many bonds. Using General Electric as an example, the company has only one class of common stock that is publicly traded, GE. Conversely, a search on FINRA’s Bond Market Data website (www.finra.org/marketdata) identified 500 bonds associated with General Electric. Thus, while you can call your broker and simply say “buy me X number of shares of GE stock,” you can’t do the same with GE bonds. You will have to give the CUSIP number (the bond equivalent of a stock ticker) or least the maturity or yield you desire. Since there are multiple issues, liquidity (the number of active buyers and sellers) will also differ. Depending on what you are trying to buy and the amount you are looking to invest, it may be challenging to complete a trade.
Thus, the decision as whether to buy a bond or a bond fund should be based not only on your goals, but also on the size of your portfolio, your personal preference about how involved you want to be with your portfolio and whether you want to work with a financial professional who is skilled in building and managing a bond portfolio.

Comparison of Bonds and Bond Funds

Bonds

  • Fixed rate of return when held to maturity
  • Portfolio diversification depends on number and type of bonds purchased
  • Can be difficult to buy because of multiple issues and potentially low liquidity
  • Costs typically limited to brokerage commissions and taxes

Bond Funds

  • Rate of return dependent on market fluctuations and manager skill
  • Most funds offer simple access to a diversified portfolio
  • Easy to buy and sell through broker or fund company
  • Annual fees charged; investors have no control over timing of capital gains realized by fund
Click here for more Beginning Investor columns.
Charles Rotblut , CFA is a vice president at AAII and editor of the AAII Journal. Follow him on Twitter at twitter.com/CharlesRAAII.
 





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