Friday, July 2, 2021

Wall Street hits record on robust June jobs data

The employment report, which the forecast had at a plus 700,000 jobs, actually came in at a plus 850,000 jobs for a total of 6.8 million which just thrilled investors today.  It was enough to instill even more confidence in the recovery but, with the jobs picture still not ideal, not enough to prompt fears of the Fed changing inflation policy. All three indexes rose, the Dow another 152, the Nasdaq 116 and, with a +32 the S&P reached its seventh consecutive record high. Headwinds weighing on the market are considered to diminish as we head into fall and more jobs are added. The next big event, as always, will be the June Fed minutes which will be published next week and give investors more clues on inflation and bond tapering. Due to the holiday, trading is light at 7.9 billion vs the 10.8 billion average. 

Fri  July 2, 2021  5:40 PM

Wall Street hits record on robust June jobs data

Herbert Lash

DJ: 34,633.53  +131.02       NAS: 14,522.38  +18.42        S&P: 4,319.94  +22.44     7/1

DJ: 34,786.35  +152.82       NAS: 14,639.33  +116.95      S&P: 4,352.34  +32.40     7/2

NEW YORK, July 2 (Reuters) - Wall Street scaled new highs on Friday, with the S&P closing up for a seventh straight day, after jobs data for June showed robust hiring yet persistent weakness in the labor market that will keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates any time soon.  The three major U.S. indices - the S&P, Dow and Nasdaq - closed at record highs. The streak was the longest run of consecutive record closes since June 1997, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.  The Labor Department's employment report showed nonfarm payrolls increased by 850,000 jobs last month, but the total is 6.8 million below its peak in February 2020. read more  The better-than-expected data was a tentative sign that a labor shortage overhanging the U.S. economy was starting to ease but was not enough to force the Fed to raise rates.  Big tech led stocks on Wall Street higher while the yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note slid to 1.431%.

"For capital markets, equities and bonds, this was a goldilocks report," said Darrell Cronk, chief investment officer at Wells Fargo Wealth & Investment Management. "There were enough jobs that you'd want to see, but not so much that it concerns people that the Fed may have to act sooner."  Investors have feared a stronger-than-expected recovery and the prospect of surging inflation that could force the Fed to pare its support and raise rates, hurting technology shares whose growth and cash flow is farther in the future.  Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) added the most to the S&P's broad advance, followed by Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) and Google parent Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O). Financial stocks, which earn less on lower rates, fell as did utilities.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 152.82 points, or 0.44%, to 34,786.35, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 32.4 points, or 0.75%, to 4,352.34 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 116.95 points, or 0.81%, to 14,639.33.  For the week, the S&P rose 1.7%, the Dow added 1.0%, the nasdaq gained 1.9%.

Trading was light heading into the long weekend, with U.S. markets shut on Monday in observance of Independence Day. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 7.95 billion shares, compared with the 10.81 billion average for a full session over the last 20 trading days.

Headwinds that have weighed on hiring, including jobless benefits and vaccine concerns, are likely to diminish in the fall and might help jobs growth accelerate, said David Joy, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial.  "But for now, the recovery in the labor market is not so robust as to bring forward any further the Fed's eventual tightening," Joy said.  The report served as evidence of the economy's ongoing recovery, said Bill Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.  "Some of the most impaired corners of the U.S. economy, namely retail, leisure and hospitality, showed some of the strongest improvements," Northey said.

Focus now shifts towards the second-quarter earnings season and progress on President Joe Biden's infrastructure bill that could help the equity market keep the momentum.  Investors will look to minutes from the Fed's June meeting next week for the latest view on inflation, bond tapering and rates at a time when the easy monetary stance appears to be at an inflection point amid a booming U.S. economy.

Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) rose 0.15% after it posted record vehicle deliveries for the second quarter that also beat Wall Street estimates. The stock was lower much of the session. CEO Elon Musk has warned of challenges securing chips and raw materials. read more  Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE.N) rose 4.1% after the space tourism firm said billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson would travel to the edge of space on the company's test flight on July 11, beating out fellow aspiring billionaire astronaut Jeff Bezos. read more  Didi Global Inc (DIDI.N) fell 5.3% after China's cyberspace administration said it would conduct a new investigation into the Chinese ride-hailing giant to protect national security and the public interest. read more

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.13-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.48-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 58 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 79 new highs and 45 new lows. 


No comments:

Post a Comment