The Dow started the day some 200 points up and that lasted until about 11 a.m. when it started a steady and steep decline, losing about 400 points by 1 pm, then started a resurgence to break even around 2:30 and then gain 194 by close. So why all this volatility again?  It was same old same old or, as today’s expert put it, “There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty about the outlook and so the market is confused.”  For the second day, Powell assured the Congress that the Fed commitment to fight inflation is “unconditional” but today’s reports showed slowing business activity due to declining consumer confidence dampening demand. 

Citigroup has joined the bandwagon today forecasting a 50% chance of global recession. But that depends on one major thing.  “Economic growth is slowing. Is it going to slow enough to go into recession, that’s the big question.”  For the second day, defensive sectors were the top performers with the sensitive materials, industrials, and financial sectors all dipping.  Volume was very close to the 4-week average at 12.4 billion. 

Thu  June 23, 2022  4:28 PM

Wall Street posts solid gains, as defensives, tech shine

By Lewis Krauskopf, Devik Jain and Sruthi Shankar

DJ: 30,483.13  -47.12         NAS: 11,053.08  -16.22         S&P: 3,759.89  -4.90        6/22

DJ: 30,677.36  +194.23      NAS: 11,232.19  +179.11       S&P: 3,795.73  +35.84     6/23

June 23 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes posted solid gains on Thursday, fueled by strong performance from defensive and tech shares that outweighed declines for economically sensitive groups as worries persisted about a potential recession.  The benchmark S&P 500 swung between positive and negative during the session, but stocks picked up steam heading into the market's close. Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields fell to two-week lows, supporting tech and other rate-sensitive growth stocks.  Trading has remained volatile in the wake of the S&P 500 last week logging its biggest weekly percentage drop since March 2020. Investors are weighing how far stocks could fall after the index earlier this month fell over 20% from its January all-time high, confirming the common definition of a bear market.  “There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty about the outlook and so the market is confused,” said Walter Todd, chief investment officer at Greenwood Capital in South Carolina.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 194.23 points, or 0.64%, to 30,677.36, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 35.84 points, or 0.95%, to 3,795.73 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 179.11 points, or 1.62%, to 11,232.19. 

 

In his second day of testifying before Congress, U.S. central bank chief Jerome Powell said the Fed's commitment to reining in 40-year-high inflation is "unconditional" but also comes with the risk of higher unemployment. read more  U.S. business activity slowed considerably in June as high inflation and declining consumer confidence dampened demand across the board, a survey on Thursday showed.  “The Fed wants to see things start to slow and the data is starting to reflect that,” said James Ragan, director of wealth management research at D.A. Davidson.  Citigroup analysts are forecasting a near 50% probability of a global recession. read more  “Economic growth is slowing. Is it going to slow enough to go into a recession, that’s the big question,” Ragan said. 

 

Defensive groups considered safer bets in rocky economic times were the top-performing S&P 500 sectors. Among them, utilities (.SPLRCU) gained 2.4%, healthcare (.SPXHC) rose 2.2% and real estate (.SPLRCR) added 2%.  The heavyweight tech sector (.SPLRCT) rose 1.4%, with Microsoft  (MSFT.O) gaining 2.3% and Apple (AAPL.O) up 2.2%.  The energy sector (.SPNY) slumped 3.8%, continuing its recent pullback after soundly outperforming the market for most of 2022. Declines in Exxon Mobil (XOM.N) and Chevron (CVX.N) were the biggest individual drags on the S&P 500, with Exxon dropping 3% and Chevron falling 3.7%.  Other economically sensitive sectors also fell. Materials (.SPLRCM) lost 1.4%, while industrials (.SPLRCI) and financials (.SPSY) dipped about 0.5% each.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.41-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.67-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted one new 52-week high and 40 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 32 new highs and 194 new lows.

About 12.4 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 12.5 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.