So Macau is dealing with another surge in COVID and today the island just off the coast of China shuttered its casinos to curb the spread. To illustrate how delicate and nervous the markets are, that minor action that took place on the other side of the world sent the markets spiraling down.  (There was a momentary rally at 2 pm that sent the Dow to break-even but no explanation below as to why.)  Q2 begins later this week with the banks reporting and expecting steep drops in profits, plus Pepsi and Delta due Tuesday and Wednesday. Earnings growth is expected to drop to 5.7% vs 6.8% three months ago.  

This week will also see a boatload of economic data to take the temp on inflation and the CPI, but expectations are for the Fed to have another ¾ point hike next week.  There is also the likelihood that today’s plunge is preemptive with the expectation of all the bad news expected later this week as mentioned above. Volume was again considerably below average at just 9.3 billion. 

Mon  July 11, 2022  4:20 PM

Wall Street ends lower ahead of economic data, earnings

By Stephen Culp

DJ: 31,388.15  -46.40         NAS: 11,635.31  +13.96        S&P: 3,899.38  -3.24        7/8

DJ: 31,173.84  -164.31       NAS: 11,372.60  -262.71       S&P: 3,854.43  -44.95      7/11

NEW YORK, July 11 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks lost ground on Monday as a lack of catalysts left market participants warily embarking on a week back-end loaded with crucial inflation data and the unofficial beginning to second-quarter earnings season.  Market leading growth stocks pulled all three major U.S. stock indexes into negative territory, with risk-off sentiment exacerbated by Macau's first casino shutdown in over two years to curb the spread of COVID-19. read more  "It’s a nervous market," said Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Seattle. "It’s all about the kick-off to earnings season and what inflation (data) tells us."  "We know inflation is being driven by supply constraints, and China is an important factor," Haworth added. "And (the Macau shutdown) threw a cold blanket on the market this morning."

Results from big banks, including JPMorgan Chase & Co , Citigroup Inc , and Wells Fargo & Co , are expected to launch second-quarter reporting season later this week.  The S&P 500 Banking index  (.SPXBK) slid 1.0%.  Analysts expect steep plunges of year-on-year profits as the companies grow their loan loss reserves, fueling fears of impending recession. read more  Later in the week a raft of economic data - including consumer prices, retail sales and factory output - should provide a glimpse of the extent to which inflation has peaked and the economy has cooled down as the Federal Reserve moves closer to next week's policy meeting, which is expected to culminate in the second straight 75 basis point interest rate hike.  "The market is trying to caution itself ahead of that (CPI) print," Haworth said. "We’re hoping for a slowdown, which would put the Federal Reserve in a softer stance, but on the other hand, there are lots of reasons to believe inflation could stay high and the Fed will remain aggressive."  The market currently expects that the central bank will raise the Fed funds futures rate by 75 basis points in its latest salvo against red-hot inflation, a tactic which some fear could tip an already cooling economy into recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 164.31 points, or 0.52%, to 31,173.84, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 44.95 points, or 1.15%, to 3,854.43 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 262.71 points, or 2.26%, to 11,372.60.  Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, communication services  (.SPLRCL) suffered the biggest percentage drop, while utilities (.SPLRCU) led the gainers. 

 

Before big banks launch second quarter earnings season in earnest on Thursday and Friday, PepsiCo and Delta Air Line (DAL.N) results are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.  As of Friday, analysts saw aggregate annual S&P earnings growth of 5.7% for the April to June period, down from the 6.8% forecast at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv. 

 

Twitter Inc (TWTR.N) tumbled 11.3% in the wake of Elon Musk saying he is terminating his deal to buy the social media company. read more  Shares of U.S. casino operators Las Vegas Sands (LVS.N), Wynn Resorts (WYNN.O) and Melco Resorts fell between 6.3% and 9.6% after Macau shuttered all casinos to contain its worst COVID outbreak since the health crisis began. read more  The broader S&P 1500 Hotel, Restaurant and Leisure index (.SPCOMHRL) dipped 1.5%.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.41-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.81-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and 30 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 20 new highs and 130 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.33 billion shares, compared with the 12.92 billion average over the last 20 trading days.