Positives:
1. Wages gained 2.2% year over year as Unemployment fell to 5.1%
2. Productivity rose 3.3%, better than the 3.2% expected and up from 1.3% previously.
3. ADP employment came in at 190k, up from 177k previously.
4. August vehicle sales totaled 17.72mm SAAR, about 400k more than expected, up from 17.46mm and the best level since August ’05
5. Construction spending increased 0.7%, in line with expectations.
6. Chicago PMI came in at 54.4, down from 54.7 but still a solid number; Markit PMI came in at 32, up from 52.9 previously.
7. ISM nonmanufacturing came in at 59, better than the 58 expected
Negatives:
The Great Jim Simons | The Irrelevant Investor1. Major U.S. indices lose 3% for the week, with S&P500 losing 3.4%, Dow Industrials 3.25%, and Nasdaq off 2.99%
2. At 173k new jobs in August, NFP disappoints below consensus;
3. Weekly jobless claims rose to 282k, up from 270k previously.
4. Factory orders rose 0.4%, down from the 2.2.% previously and below the 1% expected rise;
5. Netflix loses 16% for the week, now off 20% from its highs, now officially in a bear market
6. Emerging markets suffer similar selloffs.
The Great Jim Simons
I want to share a terrific video of Jim
Simons speaking to an audience at MIT. Simons is a mathematician, hedge fund
manager and now philanthropist so it’s no wonder that his firm is called
Renaissance Technologies. In this talk, Simons shares stories about riding a
scooter from Boston to Bogota, getting fired from the Institute for Defense
Analyses, and the success of Renaissance Technologies. Without spoiling
too much of it, here is one bit that I really enjoyed.
In 1976 at age 38, he left the math department
at Stony Brook to manage money professionally. Simons says:
“Lenny seemed to get less
and less interested with the models and more interested in reading the news
reel. In those days it was just a role that would tick away. Lenny was more
interested in reading the news than thinking about models. And then he started
having opinions on what was gonna go up and what was gonna go down. This was
all foreign currencies, bonds that kind of stuff. And I started listening to
him, he was right, he was right. He
was right enough times I said okay the hell with the modeling. Let’s
just try to make some money. We had a remarkable run, in two years since I said
the hell with the model we multiplied our investor’s money by twelve, even
after their fees. We were incredibly lucky.”
Watch it all here.
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