Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Oil rally lifts Wall Street, extending tight correlation

Typical Wall Street, just because we've had one day of trading at normal levels after over two months of abnormally high levels, they're calling it a "low volume" day.  Everything is, "What have you done for me lately?," a very dangerous way to think.  Anyway, at 7.5 billion, it wasn't really low volume at all and, if that is now what is considered light trading, we're in trouble, especially if you look at the daily chart that shows downright frenetic trading with many wild swings throughout the session.  But the bottom line is that oil had another good day, this time buoyed by reports that inventories, which have been glutted for a long time, were now in line with expectations.  This shot crude up 5 percent, the energy index as a whole up 1.5%, and the Dow up 36 points.  But as today's New York expert states, the wild swings will continue until oil stabilizes.  Good luck with that.  We can hardly see stability as long as we're producing so much more than what we can sell.

Markets | Wed Mar 9, 2016 5:48pm EST

Oil rally lifts Wall Street, extending tight correlation


DJ: 17,000.36  +36.26      NAS: 4,674.38  +25.55       S&P: 1,989.26  +10.00

(Reuters)  U.S. stocks rose in low volume on Wednesday, led once more by the direction of the price of oil and energy sector shares. 
Crude oil and U.S. equity prices have been linked for much of 2016 to a degree that has surprised many investors. Wednesday's market action extended that trend, with WTI crude CLc1 rising nearly 5 percent and the S&P 500 energy sector .SPNY up 1.5 percent. Chevron (CVX.N) jumped 4.6 percent to $92.82 and gave the biggest boost to the energy sector.
"It's not about oil being a barometer of the global economy," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities in New York. "A lot of it has to do with psychology."
U.S. crude and the S&P 500 have been directionally correlated on all but six trading days this year, according to Wunderlich data.
"Stability in that asset class (oil) for a period of time will allow for the correlation to break down," said Hogan.
Since Feb. 11, the S&P 500 has gained 8.8 percent, but it is still down 2.7 percent for the year.
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 36.26 points, or 0.21 percent, to 17,000.36, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 10 points, or 0.51 percent, to 1,989.26 and the Nasdaq Composite.IXIC added 25.55 points, or 0.55 percent, to 4,674.38.
In a week with a thin economic data calendar, markets will turn to the European Central Bank, which is expected to further ease monetary policy on Thursday.
Biotechnology stocks came under pressure a day after the U.S. government proposed a test program that would lower incentives to use higher-priced drugs when alternative treatments are available.
The Nasdaq Biotechnology sector .NBI fell 1.2 percent with Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN.O) down 5.1 percent to $374.75 as the largest decliner on the Nasdaq 100.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG.N) lost 3.4 percent to $506.63. Already reeling from several food-borne illnesses, the company temporarily shut a Massachusetts restaurant after four employees fell sick.
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE on a 2.3-to-1 ratio while on the Nasdaq a 1.50-to-1 ratio favored advancers.
The S&P 500 posted 27 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 48 new highs and 41 new lows.

About 7.5 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the average 8.67 billion in the previous 20 sessions.

No comments:

Post a Comment