Succinct Summations of Week’s Events for 3.11.16
Succinct Summations for the week ending March
11th 2016
Positives:
- S&P 500 gained 1% for the fourth consecutive week for the first time since May 2013.
- ECB brings out the bazooka: Purchases ramp to 80 billion euros ($88b) a month, a 33% increase; buys corporate bonds; lowers deposit rate by 0.10 percentage points to minus 0.40 per cent;
- Jobless claims fell to 259k and the 4-week moving average is down to 267.5k.
- Bloomberg consumer comfort remains strong at 43.8.
- MBA mortgage applications grew 0.2% w/o/w. The purchase index is up 30% y/o/y.
- Japanese economy was “less bad” in Q4 as GDP gets revised to -1.1% annualized from -1.5% initially
Negatives:
- Small business optimism came in at 92.9, below the 94.2 expected and down from 93.9 previously.
- Import and export prices remain under pressure, falling 0.3% and 0.4% respectively.
- Refi applications fell for 3rd straight week, down 2.3%
- Revolving credit outstanding fell m/o/m for the first time since February ’15. Non-revolving credit,driven by student loans and auto debt, outstanding continues to rise, now up to $2.6T.
- Chinese export data for February fell a stunning 25.4% y/o/y (in dollars), far above estimates of -14.5%.
10 Sunday Reads
My easy like
Sunday morning reads:
• Move Over, Facebook and Netflix: Value Investing Is Rebounding (Barron’s)
• Why do academic researchers avoid behavioral finance? (Alpha Architect)
• Americans’ Home Wealth Recovers $7 Trillion as Prices Firm (Bloomberg) see also How Federal Lending Programs Served as a Big Shadow Stimulus (Real Time Economics)
• Gold’s Best Start Since 1974 Shows Not Just Inflation Hedge (Bloomberg)
• The Great Let’s-Totally-F*ck-Up-Kansas-Experiment Is Nearly Complete (Esquire)
• Updating Our Favorite Performance Chart (A Wealth of Common Sense)
• Stock Buyback Plans, Seen as Shareholder Boon, Can Backfire (NYT)
•Bloomberg Run Might Have Produced President Trump (FiveThirtyEight)
• Hilarious! Donald Trump Book Reviews Are Really Intense: Donald Trump’s tweets reveal an obvious truth. He’s missed his calling as a writer of the world’s most singularly intense CliffsNotes. (Buzzfeed)
• Every Playboy Playmate Centerfold Ever (BoingBoing)and also Every Playboy Playmate Centerfold (Imgur)
Be sure to check out
our Masters
in Business interview this weekend with Jack
Bogle, founder of The Vanguard Group, inventor of the index fund.
Marijuana seizures, in
pounds, at the southwest border
(Click on the "10 Sunday Reads" link above to see this very dramatic graph.)
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