Thursday, October 11, 2018

Wall St. extends slide with trade and rates in focus

The rout continues into a second session with the Dow falling more than 500 points again as investors fret over whether rising rates and tariffs will hurt corporate earnings.  The VIX is up to almost 25, the highest since February.  So there are a lot of frayed nerves out there which hopefully will be placated when Q3 reporting starts tomorrow.  Again energy was hit hard by the again chronic problem of a new report showing excess crude inventories.  Volatility is expected to continue through next week.  If there’s a good side to today’s news it’s that there were a lot of swings in the market.  It was up and down and as late as 3 p.m. was down almost 700 points before recovering to a 545 loss.  But the intraday upswings mean that investors were seeing a bottom and buying on the dip.  Two of these upswings actually put the Dow in the black for a short time.  Even as late as 2 p.m. the Dow was only down 160.  There is still great optimism for Q3 as the forecast remains at over 21 percent earnings growth so let’s just wait and see what happens tomorrow.  Volume again was quite furious with a huge 11.4 billion shares changing hands. 



thu  OCTOBER 11, 2018 / 5:45 pm 

Wall St. extends slide with trade and rates in focus


DJ:  25,052.83  -545.91        NAS:  7,329.06  -92.99         S&P:  2,728.37  -57.31      10/11
(Reuters) - Wall Street indexes continued their slide in Thursday’s volatile session as investors worried about rising interest rates and braced for a trade war hit to corporate earnings a day ahead of the quarterly reporting season kickoff.  In its sixth consecutive day of declines, the S&P closed down 2.1 percent after shedding 3 percent in Wednesday’s session. But at its session low the benchmark fell 2.7 percent to its lowest level since early July.  The Nasdaq narrowly avoided confirming a correction. During the session it fell as much as 10.3 percent from its Aug. 29 closing record high but ended the day 9.6 percent below the record.
Investors worried that equity markets would have trouble recovering as rising interest rates coincide with uncertainty about how much earnings growth would be hurt by a U.S. trade war with China.  “People fear that it will be harder to snap back if we’re seeing a cyclical top in earnings with those two headwinds, which are not going away,” said Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading in Greenwich, Connecticut.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 545.91 points, or 2.13 percent, to 25,052.83, the S&P 500 lost 57.31 points, or 2.06 percent, to 2,728.37 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 92.99 points, or 1.25 percent, to 7,329.06.
After hitting an intraday high of 28.84, the CBOE Volatility Index, popularly known as the “fear gauge,” ended the day up 2 points at 24.98, its highest close since Feb. 12.
 “We saw a rally this morning, and that ended up being a suckers’ rally. Then you had buy-the-dippers coming in here saying this was too much too fast,” said Dennis Dick, proprietary trader at Bright Trading Llc In Las Vegas.  “Are we out of the woods here? I don’t think so,” he said. “You’re going to see a lot of volatility in the next week or so.”
The energy sector, pressured by a drop in oil prices, was the lead decliner, while insurers were some of the biggest losers in the financial sector a day after powerful Hurricane Michael slammed into Florida.  The S&P’s 11 major sectors all ended the day in the red with only the communications services sector managing a decline of less than 1 percent.  Energy was the biggest loser with a 3.1 percent drop as oil prices hit two-week lows after an industry report showed a bigger-than-expected build in U.S. crude inventories.[O/R]
The financial sector fell 2.9 percent, also hurt by a 2.7 percent drop in bank stocks a day before three of the biggest banks were to report quarterly results.  Wall Street expects S&P 500 companies to report third-quarter earnings growth of 21.3 percent for the third quarter according to I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv.
The technology sector, the biggest loser in Wednesday’s sell-off, closed down 1.3 percent on Thursday.  Stocks had seen some support earlier in the session from U.S. data showing a smaller-than-anticipated rise in consumer prices as it helped ease fears of increasing inflation pressures.  The data helped push U.S. Treasury yields to a one-week low, further soothing equity investors. 
But investors still faced a sea of worries, including uncertainty ahead of U.S. midterm congressional elections on Nov. 6, and hawkish comments last week from U.S. Federal Reserve officials.  Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 3.52-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.66-to-1 ratio favored decliners.   The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 62 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 6 new highs and 291 new lows.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.44 billion shares, its highest level since Feb. and compared with the 7.65 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days. 

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