Sat 1-19-19 John Bogle AAII Investor Update
A Few Personal
Thoughts in Remembrance of John Bogle
Thursday, January 17,
2019
As you have likely
heard, Vanguard founder John (“Jack”) Bogle passed away yesterday. He was 89.
Bogle not only founded the mutual fund giant Vanguard, but his influence on the
world of investing will be felt for generations to come. This week, I’m going to
share some of my thoughts and memories of him. If you had the chance to meet
him, see him speak or were influenced by him, let us know. We may compile your response with
those of other AAII members into a future commentary.
I was among those
fortunate enough to have both met and talked with Bogle. Meeting him almost
didn’t happen. I was invited to join Bogle for breakfast in 2010 while we were
both at the CFA Institute’s Annual Conference, but I didn’t get to hear the
voicemail with the invite until after the fact. A few years later, I got a
second chance to meet him, this time at a Morningstar Investor Conference. We spoke
for a few minutes and agreed to talk further after he finished the book he was
then working on. The following spring, I interviewed him for an article in the AAII
Journal.
While I didn’t know
him well (my correspondence with him was infrequent, but Bogle did respond
whenever I reached out to him), I had the sense that he was slowing down. For
instance, he turned down an invitation to speak at our 2015 AAII Investor
Conference because it meant traveling from Pennsylvania—where he lived—to Las
Vegas. (He told me that “it’s just no longer on my agenda to take substantial
airline trips,” but graciously recorded remarks for us to play at the conference.)
Bogle suffered his first heart attack at the age of 31 and underwent a
transplant at age 65.
I am one of the many
people who has benefited from Bogle’s career. It’s not because I’m a long-time
shareholder of the Vanguard 500 Index fund (VFIAX) and other
Vanguard funds, but rather because of what he’s done for the entire investment
industry. Bogle reduced costs by lowballing fund fees and then cutting them
even more. He also proved how important systematic approaches to investing are.
Part of the reason passive investing works so well is the limited role human
decision-making has. A set list of stocks meeting specific criteria is established
and the portfolio manager follows it—ignoring other influences. Low-cost,
systematic approaches are hard to beat. The large number of fund managers who
have been unable to beat the long-term returns of Vanguard’s index funds is
proof of this.
For all of Bogle’s
success, it was not always the case. He was fired. His first index fund, First
Index Investment Trust (which is now the Vanguard 500 Index fund), was derided
as being “un-American.” It was also referred to as “Bogle’s Folly.” In the
1970s, not many in the financial industry believed at the time that Bogle would
succeed at his index investing endeavor.
Decades later, The
Wall Street Journal describes Vanguard as the second-largest asset management
company in the world. Some fans of Bogle refer to him as “Saint Jack.” A fan
club even exists, the Bogleheads. Most exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are index
funds. BlackRock, State Street and others realize a large amount of revenues
from their index funds. Even Fidelity—long known for its active funds as well
as active manager Peter Lynch—is in the index game, having fairly recently
launched zero-expense-ratio funds.
There was more to
Bogle than just Vanguard. He was married for more than 60 years. He was also
charitable, helping to lead the rebuilding of the Blair Academy in New Jersey
(a boarding school he attended) and helping to build the National Constitution
Center in Philadelphia among other things.
One of my favorite
quotes from Bogle has little to do with index investing. Rather, it has to do
with advisers and is something I often refer back to when I speak to investors
about working with a planner or an adviser. The comment came at the end of the
interview I mentioned previously and appeared in the July 2014 AAII Journal:
I’ll close with a little story from an investment adviser I
talked to some years ago, out in Milwaukee. He said, “Look, Mr. Bogle, I know
you’re right. You could just stand there and do nothing, put 65% in the stock
index, 35% in the bond index and never change anything. So I tell my client to
do that, and he comes back a year later and says ‘What do I do now?’ and I say,
‘Nothing.’ And he comes back a year later and he says ‘I didn’t do anything
last year, not one change. What do I do now?’ The answer remains, ‘Nothing. Do
nothing again.’ And he comes back again a year after that, it’s now the third
year, and he says, ‘What should I do now?’ I again answer, ‘Do the same thing.
Nothing.’ Then the client says, ‘What do I need you for?’” The adviser asked
me, “How do I answer that question?” I said, your answer is, “You need me to
keep you from doing anything.”
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