Sunday, January 6, 2019

Succinct Summation of Week’s Events for 1.4.19

Below is the weekly summation, the big positives being Friday's dramatic recovery to what had been a disastrous week, the recovery triggered in large part by a jobs report that was a great deal better than forecast.  The bad news is that Apple is still rather badly beaten down and unemployment has risen to 3.9 percent.  As I've just returned from a weekend trip, there is no bonus this Sunday night.




Succinct Summation of Week’s Events for 1.4.19
January 4, 2019 6:00pm by Barry Ritholtz
Succinct Summations for the week ending January 4th, 2018

Positives:
1. Total non-farm payrolls increased by 312k m/o/m, much greater than expected 180k.
2. Stocks (mostly) recovered from a disastrous start to the year; indices tacked on 3-4% Friday;
3. Wages gained 3.2% as more people returned the labor force;
4. Same store sales rose 9.3% w/o/w, up from previous week’s 7.8% increase;
5. PMI services index came in at 54.4, greater than the expected 53.4;
6. December vehicle sales = 17.5m at a SAAR, above the estimate of 17.24m.

Negatives:
1. Home mortgage applications fell a seasonally-adjusted -8.0% w/o/w, down further form previous -7.0% decline.
2. Apple, only recently the world’s biggest company, is now off its highs by ~38%;
3. Number of unemployed rose by 276,000, sending Unemployment rate rose to 3.9%;
4.Jobless claims rose 10k w/o/w, from 221k to 231k.
5. PMI manufacturing index fell from 55.3 to 53.8 in December.
6. December ISM manufacturing index came in at 54.1 for December, missing expected 57.9.



No comments:

Post a Comment