Today’s Dow was up almost 300 points at open but then there was bound to be some sort of rally after the events of this past weekend. These early gains were quickly lost when investors began  contemplating the Fed again due to the flip side that the lessening of trade uncertainty decreased the likelihood of a rate cut in July.  But the index did manage to finish 117 up with the S&P closing at yet another record high.  Also bolstering the market was news that manufacturing was cooling which is bad news taken as good since it supports a rate cut.  The smart money is still expecting a rate cut at the end of this month. Volume was a very healthy 7 billion shares. 

mon  JULY 1, 2019 / 5:28 pm 

Trade hopes lift S&P to record as tech leads

Chuck Mikolajczak

DJ:  26,717.43  +117.47       NAS:  8,091.16  +84.92        S&P:  2,964.33  +22.57     7/1

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks climbed on Monday, but finished off earlier highs, led by gains in technology stocks on optimism for progress in U.S.-China trade talks and signs of a likely reprieve for Chinese telecom company Huawei.  Despite losing some of its initial steam, the S&P 500 still managed to close at a record high after the United States and China agreed on Saturday to resume trade talks. In addition, President Donald Trump also offered concessions including no new tariffs and an easing of restrictions on Huawei Technologies Co Ltd [HWT.UL], while China agreed to make unspecified new purchases of U.S. farm products.

Still, stocks had given up a good portion of their earlier gains as investors contemplated whether the U.S. Federal Reserve would be as dovish as has been anticipated recently and caution crept back in for what is likely to be a lightly traded week due to the July Fourth holiday.   “There was celebration on the open and it was a case where if some of this trade uncertainty goes away, even if it is not solved, so to speak, that decreases the likelihood the Fed needs to step in, or at least step in as aggressively as people were thinking about a week and a half ago,” said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Robert W. Baird in Milwaukee.

Tech stocks .SPLRCT, Wall Street’s top performers so far in 2019, jumped 1.45%, with heavyweight Apple Inc’s (AAPL.O) 1.83% gain providing the biggest boost.  Chipmakers with a sizable revenue exposure to China jumped nearly 5% at their session high before also pulling back, last showing a 2.65% gain in the Philadelphia Semiconductor index .SOX. Huawei supplier Micron Technology Inc (MU.O) gained 3.9%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 117.47 points, or 0.44%, to 26,717.43, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 22.57 points, or 0.77%, to 2,964.33 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 84.92 points, or 1.06%, to 8,091.16.  Stocks saw their steepest sell-off this year in May, a 6.6% decline, after a breakdown in the U.S.-China trade talks sparked concerns of a global economic slowdown. 

But hopes that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates to preserve a strong run of U.S. economic growth, and a dovish turn by central banks around the globe, helped the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indexes post their best June performance in decades.  Despite the latest development in talks, traders still anticipate the Fed’s next move will be a rate cut of at least a quarter of a percentage point at its July 30-31 policy meeting. 

Data showed growth in manufacturing cooled in the United States in June while factory activity shrank across much of Europe and Asia, further supporting expectations of a rate cut.

Gains on the Dow were held in check by a 2.1% drop in Boeing Co (BA.N) after a report that federal prosecutors had subpoenaed records relating to the production of the 787 Dreamliner in South Carolina.  Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN.O) jumped 5.9%, the most on the S&P, as gambling revenue in the Chinese territory of Macau rose more than expected in June. Shares of peers Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO.O) and Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS.N) also rose.  Coty Inc (COTY.N) tumbled 13.5%, falling the most on the S&P, after the company said it would overhaul its operations and write down about $3 billion in value of its brands acquired from Procter & Gamble Co (PG.N). 

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.57-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.50-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 62 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 122 new highs and 31 new lows.

About 7.04 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, compared with the 7.15 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.