After opening nearly 400 points up, the Dow ended the day at a virtual standstill (a very modest 32 point loss) as the market rotated from traditional growth stocks to the cyclical stocks that have been most hurt by this crisis, encouraged by the hopes that the economy will begin growing again.  It’s one of those rare examples where optimism actually caused a sell off.  In just one day, the Q1 S&P forecast has been revised upward from yesterday’s 15% to today’s 14.8% down.  As expected, consumer confidence went into the toilet in April but this is expected to be short-lived given the assumption that the economy reopens carefully and does not cause another spike in infections and deaths.  We can only hope … but it’s a big assumption.  Volume was up a tad at 12.3 billion. 

tue  APRIL 28, 2020 / 4:49 pm 

Wall Street down on flight from techs; move to value limits loss on Dow, S&P 500

Stephen Culp

DJ: 24,133.78  +358.51       NAS: 8,730.16  +95.64        S&P: 2,878.48  +41.74     4/27

DJ: 24,101.55  -32.23          NAS: 8,607.73  -122.43       S&P: 2,863.39  -15.09      4/28

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street’s major indexes lost ground on Tuesday as investors moved out of market-leading growth stocks, though a rotation into cyclical value stocks indicated hopes of economic revival as states began to relax restrictions enacted to fight the deadly COVID-19 pandemic.  While technology stocks pulled all three major U.S. stock indexes into the red, they all remained within 20% of their February all-time highs.

“The stock market today is about money coming out of tech and going into economically sensitive value stocks, where prices have suffered the most,” said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. “The sense that states are opening up and the economy is beginning to grow again is causing this rotation.”  Smaller companies have fared better than larger ones in recent days, as they stand to benefit more from the state-by-state easing of shutdown restrictions. The Russell 2000 , which tracks small-cap companies, posted its fifth straight advance.

But with U.S. coronavirus cases topping 1 million, a predictive model often cited by White House officials warned the country’s death toll could climb higher than previously projected if states reopen prematurely.  First-quarter earnings season has shifted into high gear, with S&P 500 earnings now expected to be down 14.8% from a year ago, a dramatic U-turn from the 6.3% year-on-year growth seen on Jan. 1, according to Refinitiv data.

The U.S. Federal Reserve convenes its two-day monetary policy meeting to contend with crushing joblessness and an ailing economy.  Consumer confidence plunged in April, with the ‘current conditions’ component suffering its largest drop ever, according to the Conference Board.   “As long as the economy doesn’t open up too quickly and cause the infection rate to increase, it seems like the virus has peaked and is perhaps on the decline, giving the consumer hope that the economy will get going again,” Ghriskey added.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI fell 32.23 points, or 0.13%, to 24,101.55, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 15.09 points, or 0.52%, to 2,863.39 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 122.43 points, or 1.4%, to 8,607.73.  Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, seven closed in the black, led by energy .SPNY and materials .SPLRCM. 

Healthcare stocks .SPXHC dropped 2.1%. Merck & Co (MRK.N) warned of a $2.1 billion hit to its 2020 revenue. The drugmaker’s shares dropped 3.3%.  3M Co (MMM.N), manufacturer of highly sought-after N95 protective masks, reported better-than-expected quarterly profit, sending its shares up 2.6%.  Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG.N) shares jumped 15.2% after the motorcycle maker took steps to boost cash reserves to contend with dropping demand due to lockdowns.  PepsiCo rose 1.4%, benefiting from rising snack demand due to stay-at-home orders. 

Following after-the-bell quarterly reports, Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) shares rose by more than 3%, Starbucks Corp (SBUX.O) dipped 1.7%, and Ford Motor Co (F.N) was down more than 6% in after-hours trading.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.46-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.38-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 13 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 54 new highs and 2 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.31 billion shares, compared with the 11.31 billion average over the last 20 trading days.