After opening over a hundred down, then peaking around 2 pm a little under a hundred up, the Dow dove again but recovered in the last few minutes to close up 34.  The volatility comes from just one place – uncertainty. There is uncertainty over the stimulus, uncertainty on the overall economy, uncertainty about the pandemic, uncertainty about the upcoming presidential election.  The bright spots: the S&P continues to hover within mere points of its record high without quite getting there, though today’s expert clarifies this in saying, “New all-time highs are like rusty doors and require several attempts before they finally break open. Approaching, but not breaking through, is actually standard.” Other bright spots include factory output increasing and consumer sentiment remaining steady while a down spot is retail sales increasing less than expected due to spiraling pandemic cases and reduced incomes. But the negatives today outweighed these positives which was reflected in the substantially reduced volume of 7.8 billion. 

Fri  AUGUST 14, 2020 / 4:42 pm 

S&P 500 ends almost flat as record remains elusive

Caroline Valetkevitch

DJ: 27,896.72  -80.12        NAS: 11,042.50  +30.27        S&P: 3,373.43   -6.92       8/13

DJ: 27,931.02  +34.30       NAS: 11,019.30  -23.20         S&P: 3,372.85  -0.58        8/14

(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended nearly flat on Friday despite coming close again to its record closing high, as data on the U.S. economy added to uncertainty over the recovery.  Aggressive stimulus measures have helped the three main U.S. stock indexes bounce back from a coronavirus-driven crash in March. The benchmark index at one point on Friday was up 0.15% to 3,378.51 but retreated to close very marginally lower.

On Wednesday and Thursday, the S&P 500 briefly traded above its Feb. 19 record close of 3,386.15 but lacked momentum on Friday.  “New all-time highs are like rusty doors and require several attempts before they finally break open,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York.  “So, approaching, but not breaking through, is actually standard,” and a few more attempts may still be ahead before the record is broken, he said.

Hitting a closing record would confirm, according to a widely accepted definition, that the S&P 500 entered a new bull market after hitting its pandemic low on March 23.  “There’s still a lot of uncertainty with regard to the overall economy, as well as the increase in case count that we’ve seen over the past month or so,” said Brian Price, head of investments for Commonwealth Financial Network.

Data on Friday showed U.S. retail sales increased less than expected last month and could slow further due to spiraling COVID-19 cases and a reduction in unemployment benefit checks.  Separately, readings showed that U.S. factory output increased more than expected in July but remained below pre-pandemic levels while consumer sentiment was largely steady in the first half of August.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 34.3 points, or 0.12%, to 27,931.02, the S&P 500 lost 0.58 points, or 0.02%, to 3,372.85 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 23.20 points, or 0.21%, to 11,019.30.  For the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, the Dow added 1.8% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.

Adding to recent uncertainty, prospects of more fiscal aid have faded with the Senate and House of Representatives in recess and no fresh talks scheduled.  The upcoming U.S. presidential election is adding caution, along with continued outbreaks of the virus in parts of the United States.

Applied Materials Inc gained 3.9% after it forecast fourth-quarter revenue above analysts’ estimates following a rebound in demand for chip equipment and services.  Shares of German biotechnology firm CureVac BV surged in their Nasdaq debut, marking the first stock market launch by a company developing a potential vaccine for the novel coronavirus.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.06-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.14-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 16 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 14 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 7.83 billion shares, compared with the 10.1 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.