Today it was a triple play of doubts on stimulus, doubts on controlling the sharply rising cases of coronavirus and doubts about a contested election that drove the all three indexes down, the Dow down 410 points. While the stimulus is a minor concern with investors confident that there will be a package sooner or later, there are grave concerns about the pandemic spiraling upwards and whether Trump will accept the election if he loses. COVID cases rose 13% last week, the highest since the summer peak. The fear gauge is up for the sixth straight session.  But volume remains below the 4-week average at 8.7 billion. 

MON  OCTOBER 19, 2020  4:39  PM 

Wall Street closes lower as stimulus deadline nears without deal

By Sinéad Carew

DJ: 28,606.31  +112.11      NAS: 11,671.56  -42.32        S&P: 3,483.81  +0.47       10/16

DJ: 28,195.42  -410.89       NAS: 11,478.88  -192.67      S&P: 3,426.92  -56.89      10/19

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Monday as Washington lawmakers still appeared to struggle to reach an agreement on coronavirus stimulus ahead of a Tuesday deadline that would make a relief package possible ahead of the Nov. 3 elections.  House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Sunday that in order to push through an agreement before the election, it would have to be settled on by Tuesday.  Pelosi and Treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin “continued to narrow their differences” in conversations on Monday and Pelosi was hopeful that by the end of Tuesday there will be “clarity” on whether coronavirus stimulus is possible before Nov. 3 election, according to a spokesperson for Pelosi.  Investors were also worried about rising coronavirus cases in parts of the United States and about whether U.S. President Donald Trump might end up contesting the election results.

“The lack of news on stimulus is worrisome compounded by worsening virus trends and uncertainty ahead of the elections,” said Mona Mahajan, U.S. Investment Strategist, Allianz Global Investors, New York.  Last week, the White House proposed a $1.8 trillion stimulus package that Pelosi rejected because it fell short of her demand for $2.2 trillion in aid.  “There’s a decent case that regardless of who wins if stimulus doesn’t happen before the election it’ll happen afterward,” said Mahajan but she added, “with (virus) cases rising again stimulus will be important.”

As Wisconsin battled one of the worst coronavirus surges in the United States, a judge on Monday reinstated restrictions. In New Mexico, the governor warned that the state’s healthcare resources might not be sufficient if cases keep rising at the current pace.  The number of new COVID-19 cases in the United States last week rose 13% to more than 393,000, approaching levels last seen during a summer peak, according to a Reuters analysis.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 410.89 points, or 1.44%, to 28,195.42, the S&P 500 lost 56.89 points, or 1.63%, to 3,426.92 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 192.67 points, or 1.65%, to 11,478.88.  All 11 major S&P industry sectors closed lower, with energy , down 2%, leading the percentage declines followed by the communication services index, down 1.9%. Only the defensive utilities sector, down 0.9%, finished with a decline of less than 1%.

High flyers stocks Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com all fell more than 2% and created the biggest drags on the S&P 500.  Wall Street’s fear gauge closed higher for a sixth straight session and finished above 29 for the first time since Oct. 6 as U.S. election campaigns kicked into high gear.

Nearly 30 million Americans have cast early ballots, shattering records as voters adjust to the coronavirus pandemic, including in Florida, battleground state that on Monday opened polls to early voting.  President Donald Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden will debate for a final time on Thursday.  The election is “weighing on investor sentiment a bit and maybe there’s incremental concern there will be a contested election,” according to Mahajan citing poll stabilization and betting odds reflecting higher expectations for a Trump win.

The Dow Jones Transport Average closed down 1% after reversing course late in the afternoon as hopes dimmed for stimulus deal during the session.  Still it outperformed the broader market as the U.S.  Transportation Security Administration said it screened more than 1 million airline passengers on Sunday for the first time since mid-March.  After the financial sector set a mixed tone for the start of the third-quarter earnings season last week, investors will look to results from about 91 S&P 500 companies this week.

International Business Machines Corp was down 1% in choppy after-the-bell trading when it reported results.  ConocoPhillips shares fell 3.2% after it agreed to buy U.S. shale oil producer Concho Resources Inc for $9.7 billion as the energy sector continued to consolidate.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.67-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.30-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 101 new highs and 29 new lows.

On U.S. exchanges, 8.698 billion shares changed hands compared with the 9.213 billion average for the last 20 sessions.