The market has been wavering back and forth between pandemic worries and vaccine optimism. Today was a vaccine trade day with all three indexes in positive territory, the Dow up 327 points. Two big boosters: Astra Zeneca announced a third vaccine, this one 90% effective, and Biden announced Janet Yellin as the new Treasury Secretary creating new optimism for the next stimulus package which Mnuchin dampened last week. Overall, it was another major move from the pandemic-safe tech stocks to the more cyclical value stocks, and any moves along those lines reflect optimism for a recovery. Volume will be lighter than usual this week due to the holiday – but not today, going above the 4-week average at 12.1 billion shares traded.  

MON  NOVEMBER 23, 2020  4:47 PM 

Cyclical gains lift stocks, Yellen news gives brief boost

By Chuck Mikolajczak

DJ: 29,263.48  -219.75       NAS: 11,854.97  -49.74        S&P: 3,557.54  -24.33      11/20

DJ: 29,591.27  +327.79       NAS: 11,880.63  +25.66       S&P: 3,577.59  +20.05     11/23

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher in a choppy session on Monday as hopes for a COVID-19 vaccine lifted economically sensitive sectors such as energy and industrials, but a pullback in megacap shares curbed gains on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.  Cyclicals led gains, with energy ahead by 7.09% while industrials and financials each rose more than 1%, as data showed monthly business activity expanded at the fastest rate in more than five years.  Energy shares got a boost from another gain in oil prices, which have risen on anticipation a vaccine will help demand recover.

“It’s Monday vaccine trade day,” said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Jupiter, Florida.  “As they move out of those growth names, it’s still this continued move into larger cyclical, value names which is why you see the Dow performing so well and the Nasdaq under some pressure.”  Declines in technology and tech-related heavyweight names such as Apple Inc and Netflix Inc muted gains as investors rotated out of stocks seen as safe bets following a coronavirus-led crash earlier this year.  Major averages got a late boost after the Wall Street Journal reported U.S. President-elect Joe Biden plans to nominate former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen to be the next Treasury secretary.   “A known commodity in a uncertain situation is a potential boon for the market,” said Jake Dollarhide, chief executive officer of Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.  “The Treasury is probably more important than congress in getting the next stimulus package through. This removes a huge roadblock.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 327.79 points, or 1.12%, to 29,591.27, the S&P 500 gained 20.05 points, or 0.56%, to 3,577.59 and the Nasdaq Composite added 25.66 points, or 0.22%, to 11,880.63.  Evidence of high efficacy rates in experimental COVID-19 vaccines had lifted the S&P 500 to a record high this month and brought the blue-chip Dow close to breaching 30,000 points for the first time, breathing new life into cyclical stocks that were beaten down during the recession.

AstraZeneca Plc on Monday became the latest major drugmaker to say its vaccine could be around 90% effective, while the U.S. health regulator is likely to approve in mid-December the distribution of Pfizer Inc’s vaccine.

Volume is expected to be on the lighter side moving closer to the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.  Sentiment was dented by new lockdowns to contain a surge in coronavirus infections. Nevada on Sunday tightened curbs on casinos, restaurants and bars, while imposing a broader mandate for face-coverings over the next three weeks.  Hopes of more monetary stimulus were dampened after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin last week pulled the plug on some of the Fed’s pandemic emergency lending programs.  Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin said on Monday that households could struggle over the next several months without more government aid to provide support until a vaccine becomes widely available.

Tesla Inc shares surged 6.58% to move closer toward hitting $500 billion in market capitalization ahead of its inclusion in the S&P 500 next month.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.93-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.95-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 31 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 177 new highs and 11 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.10 billion shares, compared with the 10.87 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.