Sunday, April 3, 2022

Market summary for w/e 4/1/22

Below are the individual market summaries for each day of this past week ending 4/1/22.  This will be the last time I do a weekly update.  It is obvious it is not working to be publishing a list of summaries only once per week.  I don't know if I will succeed or not but, starting tomorrow, I will endeavor to return to the original format and begin publishing my summaries on a daily basis.  My views have fallen drastically since I started this weekly format a month ago so let's see if returning to daily revives things.  I've discovered it really isn't any more time or work to do daily and may even be easier.  We'll see.  Hope everyone had a great weekend.  Hope to be online again tomorrow. 

 


S&P 500 climbs for third straight day as Tesla leads

A third day up for the Dow and S&P with a sharp jump in Tesla overshadowing other issues. The bond yield curve inverted ever so briefly during the session which raised immediate concerns about Fed policy triggering recession. But strong economic data still makes value stocks a relative bargain. Volume remains below average at 11.2 billion.  

DJ:          34,861.24  +153.30                 NAS:       14,169.30  -22.54                    S&P:       4,543.06  +22.90     3/25

DJ:          34,955.89  +94.65                   NAS:       14,354.90  +185.60                 S&P:       4,575.52  +32.46     3/28


Wall Street rallies on hopes Russia, Ukraine can resolve conflict

By Chuck Mikolajczak

Another big up day for all three indexes as the market grasps even questionable progress in Ukraine, progress that eased the price of oil and other commodities and helped calm inflation concerns. The S&P which earlier this year had fallen into correction territory is now down only 3% and the Fed tightening is not expected to happen quickly.  Consumer confidence is up, market nervousness down.  Volume rose considerably, today just a tad below recent averages at 13.2 billion. 

DJ:          34,955.89  +94.65                   NAS:       14,354.90  +185.60                 S&P:       4,575.52  +32.46     3/28

DJ:          35,294.19  +338.30                 NAS:       14,619.64  +264.73                 S&P:       4,631.60  +56.08     3/29


Dow, S&P close lower after 4 days of gains as Russia bombs Ukraine

By Chuck Mikolajczak

The Dow down some 300 points from its early morning high as late as 3:30 before a dramatic rebound bringing it to close down just 65 points. It was the first down day in five sessions as Russian bombing of Ukraine scaled back optimism over peace talks. The market is on track for its lowest Q1 in two years.  Lower energy prices is the key to market revival and a resolution in Ukraine is the key to lower energy prices. Still, the labor market remains strong with 455k new jobs last month. Volume sunk again, today at 11.7 billion. 

DJ:          35,294.19  +338.30                 NAS:       14,619.64  +264.73                 S&P:       4,631.60  +56.08     3/29

DJ:          35,228.81  -65.38                    NAS:       14,442.27  -177.36                  S&P:       4,602.45  -29.15      3/30


Wall Street falls as S&P suffers biggest quarterly drop in two years

By Chuck Mikolajczak

Dow pretty consistently about a hundred points down all day long until about 3:30 when it cratered and suddenly closed down another 450 points.  What happened in that last half hour?  Could it have been when Putin halted the Russian gas contracts to Europe?  (Pardon me, but didn’t he do that already several days ago?)  The combo on that was that consumer price data, though it barely rose and was still quite in line with expectations, was nonetheless taken by the market as a sign of worse times ahead.  As usual and as happens every month at this time, all eyes will be on Friday’s jobs report for continuing labor market strength and hints on future Fed policy regarding inflation.  (Let’s hope that April Fools brings a pleasant surprise by way of another rally.)  Volume is still below the 4-week average 12.1 billion. 

DJ:          35,228.81  -65.38                    NAS:       14,442.27  -177.36                  S&P:       4,602.45  -29.15      3/30

DJ:          34,678.35  -550.46                  NAS:       14,220.52  -221.76                  S&P:       4,530.41  -72.04      3/31


Wall St posts modest gains as jobs report keeps Fed hikes on track

By Chuck Mikolajczak

The Dow down some 140 points around noon but then rebounded to make up the entire loss by 2 pm and then up another 140 by close.  So today’s big April Fools surprise was that the market was tanking because the jobs report showing 431K new jobs when 490K was the estimate and then suddenly at 2 pm Wall Street said, “Didn’t really mean it.  April Fools!” and the Dow shot up 300 points.  With all the positive economic data, the 72% assumption now is that the Fed will do a ½ point rate hike in May and likely more before the end of the year. The Fed does not see these ½ point hikes as being any big risk to the economy.  The infamous yield curve inverted three times this week, which has often been a harbinger of recession. However last year’s yield curve inversion was not followed by recession and, in historical perspective, it’s really a flip of the coin.  Q1 saw the biggest decline since the initial depths of the pandemic but March saw a strong 3.6% rebound and April has historically been a strong month.  Volume remains below average at 11.4 billion. 

DJ:          34,678.35  -550.46                  NAS:       14,220.52  -221.76                  S&P:       4,530.41  -72.04      3/31

DJ:          34,818.27  +139.92                 NAS:       14,261.50  +40.98                   S&P:       4,545.86  +15.45     4/1


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