The Dow spent much of the day up around a hundred points as late as 2 pm before it once again plummeted to close down 113. Just as rising Treasury yields caused markets to dive earlier this week, and subsequently falling rates triggered yesterday’s rally, today’s rise again pressured the indexes into a fall. Four more big banks submitted Q1 reports today and despite them beating estimates they also reported steep profit declines. So not as steep as expected but still steep enough that created concerns that they only beat estimates because expectations are so low.
Another anomaly is that, despite the day’s bad data, the 2022 S&P earnings forecast has now been raised to 6.3% vs Tuesday’s 6.1% and especially vs Wednesday’s 5.4%. It got downgraded on a day of good news and upgraded on a day of bad. Go figure. A final oddity is that volume was still below average at 10.4 billion despite the fact that Thursday was another triple-witching day with the expirations of options. These expirations generally considerably exaggerate volume so the fact that volume remains low means it must have been even considerably lower. Tomorrow (or perhaps Monday) will tell the true tale.
Thu April 14,
2022 6:13 PM
U.S. stocks
slide as rising bond yields hit growth stocks
By Stephen Culp
DJ: 34,564.59 +344.23 NAS: 13,643.59 +272.01 S&P: 4,446.59 +49.14 4/13
DJ: 34,451.23 -113.36 NAS: 13,351.08 -292.51 S&P: 4,392.59
-54.00 4/14
NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) - Wall
Street closed lower on Thursday at the end of a holiday-shortened week as bond
yields resumed their uphill climb and investors contended with mixed earnings
and economic data. All three major U.S.
stock indexes posted weekly losses ahead of the Good Friday holiday. "It’s a combination of continued worries
still there," said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial
in Charlotte, North Carolina. "It's a mixed bag earning season so far, and
that, coupled with high inflation and the hawkish Fed have led to selling ahead
of the holiday weekend."
Rising 10-year Treasury yields
pressured growth stocks,
dragging the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq deeply into negative territory, while
the Dow posted a more modest loss. "The
higher yields pressure higher growth stocks as their net present value ...
takes a hit when yields go higher," Detrick said. A quartet of large U.S. banks shifted the first quarter reporting season
into overdrive, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N),
Citigroup Inc (C.N), Morgan Stanley (MS.N),
and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) all
posting results. read
more While all four beat Street estimates, they also reported steep
profit declines. Their share price reaction was mixed, and were last
moving in the range of up 1.6% (Citigroup) to down by 4.5% (Wells Fargo). The
broader S&P 500 Finance index fell 1.0%.
"There’s some
concerns this earnings season," Detrick added. "Expectations are the lowest
since the recovery started and it's got investors cautious of how
companies will step up to the earnings altar in the comings weeks."
A host of economic data showed spiking gasoline prices helped
retail sales beat consensus and prompted the largest jump in import prices in nearly 11 years. read more The
data falls in lockstep with other recent indicators, which appear to cement
aggressive inflation-curbing actions from the Federal Reserve in the coming
months, including a series of 50 basis point interest rate hikes. Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) Chairman Elon Musk offered to take
Twitter Inc private with a $41 billion cash offer. The social media company's
shares oscillated throughout the session but closed down 1.7%.
The
Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell
113.36 points, or 0.33%, to 34,451.23, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost
54 points, or 1.21%, to 4,392.59 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped
292.51 points, or 2.14%, to 13,351.08. Of the 11 major sectors
in the S&P 500, tech shares (.SPLRCT) fared the worst, sliding 2.5%.
The
first-quarter reporting season is still in its infancy, with 34 of the
companies in the S&P 500 having reported.
Analysts now expect
aggregate annual S&P 500 earnings growth of 6.3%, less optimistic
than the 7.5% growth projected at the beginning of the year. Thursday marked the monthly expiration for options contracts, an
occurrence that has in the recent past helped amplify stock market gyrations as
investors make adjustments to account for millions of expiring options
contracts on stocks, ETFs and indexes.
Declining
issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.83-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq,
a 2.02-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The
S&P 500 posted 33 new 52-week highs and 14 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite
recorded 66 new highs and 218 new lows.
Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.45
billion shares, compared
with the 12.22 billion average over the last 20 trading days.
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