Wednesday, April 13, 2022

Wall Street surges in growth stocks rally; earnings season opens

Bond yields fell today and that sent an army of bargain hunters racing to pick up fallen growth stocks sending not only the tech heavy Nasdaq but also the value heavy Dow into a big rally.  Q1 got off to a mixed start with JPMorgan reporting disappointing results but Delta Airlines and the entire airline index surging.  Ordinarily strong business would be considered a good thing but in this environment good business is being triggered by too strong demand which business can’t keep up with and thus triggering the unprecedented inflation we have.  As today’s expert put it, “Business is good. Almost too good.”  But perhaps the day’s most telling news is that in only one day of Q1 reporting, the 2022 forecast has already been downgraded from yesterday’s 6.1% growth to 5.4 today.  Volume remains below average at 10.5 billion. 


Wall Street surges in growth stocks rally; earnings season opens

By Stephen Culp

DJ: 34,220.36  -87.72         NAS: 13,371.57  -40.38         S&P: 4,397.45  -15.08      4/12

DJ: 34,564.59  +344.23      NAS: 13,643.59  +272.01      S&P: 4,446.59  +49.14     4/13

NEW YORK, April 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street rallied to end sharply higher on Wednesday, powered by a recovery in interest-sensitive growth stocks as investors digested hot inflation data and a mixed bag of quarterly results.  Falling U.S. Treasury yields helped the tech-heavy Nasdaq lead all three major U.S. stock indexes higher, with semiconductors (.SOX) outperforming the broader market. The Nasdaq jumped over 2% while the S&P 500 and the Dow gained more than 1%.

"Bond yields may have gotten ahead of themselves and they're dropping lower today," said David Carter, managing director at Wealthspire Advisors in New York. "This helps almost all equities, but particularly growthy areas like tech."

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N) set the first-quarter earnings season off to an inauspicious start, reporting a 42% drop in quarterly profit. The downbeat results from the biggest U.S. lender sent its shares down 3.2%. read more  On the brighter side, Delta Air Lines' (DAL.N) results beat expectations and it forecast a current-quarter return to profit due to "historically high" demand. Its 6.2% share jump was contagious; the broader S&P 1500 airline index (.SPCOMAIR) surged 6.8%. read more

"It’s great that demand is so strong," Carter added. "However, drive inflation higher, which will force the Fed to continue to raise rates, resulting in a weaker stock market."  "Business is good. Almost too good."  Strong demand also drove the Labor Department's producer price index to a blistering 11.2% year-on-year growth rate, the hottest annual reading since the Labor Department started tracking annual data in 2010. read more  Core PPI and other major indicators have risen beyond the Federal Reserve's average annual 2% inflation target.

Minutes from the most recent Fed policy meeting and subsequent remarks from its members have market participants setting easy odds for a series of 50-basis-point interest rate hikes in the coming months, as the central bank treads the delicate tightrope of curbing inflation without provoking a recession.  "It's obvious now that the Fed is singing off the same song sheet, more tightening is coming," Carter said. "Much of this, however, is priced in and expected."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 344.23 points, or 1.01%, to 34,564.59, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 49.14 points, or 1.12%, to 4,446.59 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 272.02 points, or 2.03%, to 13,643.59.  Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, consumer discretionary stocks (.SPLRCD) enjoyed the largest percentage gains, jumping 2.5%.

Analyst estimates for the corporate earnings season have grown less optimistic. Aggregate annual S&P 500 earnings growth for the first three quarters of 2022 is estimated at 5.4% as of Wednesday, down from 7.5% at the beginning of the year.

On Thursday, the holiday-shortened week will end with results from a swath of big banks, including Morgan Stanley (MS.N), Citigroup Inc (C.N), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N), and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N).

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.92-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.87-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 19 new 52-week highs and 11 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 48 new highs and 168 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.52 billion shares, compared with the 12.33 billion average over the last 20 trading days. 


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