There was a lot of up and down again today with the Dow up over 200 in the morning, then down again before soaring again right around 3pm before falling yet again to ultimately close up nearly 200 again.  But the real trigger was the minutes of the FOMC confirming a unanimous consensus of rate hikes coming June and July. All the fears surrounding these possible hikes suddenly evaporated when, as today’s expert put it, “There’s a lack of uncertainty of what needs to be done in the near-term.” So as is so often the case, there is a confirmation of bad news but the market is actually glad about the bad news. On Thursday we get a better look at Q1 GDP and on Friday more clarity on consumer spending. But today’s rally is really about the “credence to the idea that inflation is doing the Fed’s job for them. There’s already a cooling occurring.” So maybe that means that rate hikes won’t be so aggressive after all.  Volume was considerably below average at 11.2 billion. 

Wed  May 25, 2022  6:45 PM

Wall Street rallies as Fed minutes meet expectations

By Stephen Culp

DJ: 31,928.62  +48.38        NAS: 11,264.45  -270.83         S&P: 3,941.48  -32.27      5/24

DJ: 32,120.28  +191.66      NAS: 11,434.74  +170.29        S&P: 3,978.73  +37.25     5/25

NEW YORK, May 25 (Reuters) - Wall Street closed higher Wednesday, boosted after minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting showed policymakers unanimously felt the U.S. economy was very strong as they grappled with reining in inflation without triggering a recession.  The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's May meeting, which culminated in a 50-basis-point hike in the Fed funds target rate - the biggest jump in 22 years - showed most of the committee's members judged that further such rate hikes would "likely be appropriate" at its upcoming June and July meetings. read more

"The uniformity of opinion is a good thing," said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in Louisville, Kentucky. "There's a lack of uncertainty of what needs to be done in the near-term."  "By the time (the Fed) gets to September, they will have plenty of economic data to make their move from there, so they continue to maintain optionality," Mayfield added.

All three major U.S. stock indexes gyrated earlier in the day amid increasing jitters stemming from business and consumer surveys, economic data and corporate earnings reports suggesting a cooling American economy - even as the Fed prepares to toss a bucket of cold water on it to tackle decades-high inflation.  Fears that overly aggressive interest rate hikes by the Fed could tip the economy into recession despite evidence that inflation peaked in March has fueled those concerns.  "There’s some credence to the idea that inflation is doing (the Fed’s) job for them," Mayfield said. "There’s already a cooling occurring, and financial conditions have tightened over the last month because of dollar strength and equity market weakness."

On Thursday, the Commerce Department is due to release its second take on first-quarter GDP, which analysts expect to slow a slightly shallower contraction than the 1.4% quarterly annualized drop originally reported.  The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report will follow on Friday, which will provide further clues regarding consumer spending and whether inflation peaked in March, as other indicators have suggested.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 191.66 points, or 0.6%, to 32,120.28, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 37.25 points, or 0.95%, to 3,978.73 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 170.29 points, or 1.51%, to 11,434.74.  Nine of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 rose, with consumer discretionary stocks (.SPLRCD) leading the pack with a gain of 2.8%. 

 

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) provided the strongest lift to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, rising 2.6% and 4.9%, respectively.  Department store operator Nordstrom Inc (JWN.N) surged 14.0% on the heels of its upbeat annual profit and revenue forecasts. read more  Fast-food chain Wendy's Co (WEN.O) jumped 9.8% after a regulatory filing revealed that shareholder Nelson Peltz was considering a potential takeover bid for the company. read more  Shares of Nvidia Corp (NVDA.O) fell more than 8% in after-hours trading after the company's second quarter revenue forecast missed expectations. read more

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.56-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.22-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted three new 52-week highs and 32 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 255 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.19 billion shares, compared with the 13.27 billion-share average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.