S&P 500, Nasdaq slide, while Dow ends higher on mixed earnings picture

Tech continued to take a hit with Meta, following Microsoft and Google, plunging 24.6% and with Amazon plunging 12% after the bell and losing over $100B in value in just one day, there will likely continue to be a tech plunge on Friday. But there was good news on GDP as well as data showing Q3 inflation holding steady which held out further hopes that a winnowing of rate hikes may be coming as soon as December, the odds now at 55 percent. That shot the Dow up some 500 points this morning but that was followed by a steady decline all day to close up 194.  

Nearly half of the S&P has now reported with 74% beating estimates. And once again, the comment has been made “we’ve seen earnings come in at or slightly above expectations.”  Again, how does a 74% beat rate qualify as “slightly” above expectations?  Volume was a little below average at just under 11.4 billion. 

Thu  October 27, 2022  6:41 PM

S&P 500, Nasdaq slide, while Dow ends higher on mixed earnings picture

By Stephen Culp

DJ: 31,839.11  +2.37         NAS: 10,970.99  -228.12        S&P: 3,830.60  -28.51      10/26

DJ: 32,033.28  +194.17     NAS: 10,792.68  -178.32        S&P: 3,807.30  -23.30      10/27

NEW YORK, Oct 27 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted losses on Thursday, as investors contended with solid economic data and a mixed bag of corporate earnings.  The price-weighted Dow advanced, held aloft by industrials (.SPLRCI), while weakness in market-moving tech and tech-adjacent megacaps depressed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq in the wake of downbeat quarterly results and dour guidance.  "It’s very much a bifurcated market, a tale of two cities," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist Ingalls & Snyder in New York.

"There's lot of pressure on tech and tech-plus names, higher growth names," Ghriskey added. "On the flipside you’re seeing a lot of strength in other sectors, in particular consumer staples, energy, financials, industrials and utilities."  After the bell, Amazon (AMZN.O) slumped 12%, erasing over $100 billion of its stock market value after the retail and tech heavyweight forecast a slowdown in sales growth for the holiday season, disappointing Wall Street and warning that inflation-wary consumers and businesses had less money to spend.  That sent S&P 500 futures down 0.5% and Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, showing traders expect Wall Street to open lower on Friday.  During Thursday's trading session, Meta Platforms (META.O) plunged 24.6% after the Facebook parent followed the trend set by Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) and Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O) by providing gloomy forward guidance.

But heavy equipment maker Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N) reported better-than-expected quarterly profit, sending its shares jumping 7.7% and providing the most muscle to the Dow's advance.

A third-quarter GDP reading showing the U.S. economy returned to growth in the July-Sept period, along with steady quarterly core inflation helped take the sting out of earnings.  Investors continue to scan the economic horizon for evidence that the barrage of aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, begun in March, are beginning to have the desired effect by cooling down the economy.  While a 75 basis point rate hike at the conclusion of its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting is all but assured, the likelihood of a smaller, 50 basis point hike in December was 55%, according to CME's FedWatch tool.  "The overriding theme is really the Fed. The Fed is going to control the direction of this market over the coming months," Ghriskey added.

At Thursday's close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was up 194.17 points, or 0.61%, to 32,033.28, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 23.3 points, or 0.61%, to 3,807.3 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 178.32 points, or 1.63%, to 10,792.68.  Among the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500, industrials had the biggest percentage gain, with communication services (.SPLRCL), weighed by Meta, down the most.

Third-quarter reporting season forges ahead at full speed, with 227 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 74% have beaten consensus estimates.  Analysts now see aggregate S&P earnings growth of 2.5%, down from 4.5% at the beginning of October.  "In general we’ve seen earnings come in at or slightly above expectations," Ghriskey said. "But those expectations have been lowered throughout the quarter."

McDonald's Corp (MCD.N) gained 3.3% after the fast food chain beat quarterly same-store sales estimates.  Shares of Southwest Airlines Co (LUV.N) rose 2.7% after the carrier's quarterly profit topped consensus estimates.  Also after the bell, Intel (INTC.O) rallied 5% after the chipmaker cut its full-year profit and revenue forecast and said it was targeting $3 billion in cost reductions in 2023.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.10-to-1 ratio favored decliners.  The S&P 500 posted 23 new 52-week highs and 12 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 93 new highs and 119 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.36 billion shares, compared with the 11.59 billion average over the last 20 trading days.