S&P closes at more than two-month high on retail, energy lift

It was a shot straight up for all three indexes all day long as Best Buy revised its holiday forecast for a smaller drop than previously stated, lifting optimism for the shopping season across the whole retail sector. Dollar General dropped, though, indicating that the discount stores with their smaller margins are likely more susceptible to rising prices than other retailers and that the lower income consumer is also more sensitive to increases.  There is still a tug of war trying to figure out the Fed as more Fed presidents who had earlier turned dovish suddenly switched gears Tuesday and reiterated the need for more and higher rate hikes. For the holiday week, volume remains light and considerably below average at just 9.4 billion. 

Tue  November 22, 2022  4:20 PM

S&P closes at more than two-month high on retail, energy lift

By Chuck Mikolajczak

DJ: 33,700.28  -45.41          NAS: 11,024.51  -121.55        S&P: 3,949.94  -15.40      11/21

DJ: 34,098.10  +397.82       NAS: 11,174.41  +149.90       S&P: 4,003.58  +53.64     11/22

NEW YORK, Nov 22 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rallied on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 closing at its highest level in 2-1/2 months, as a sales forecast by Best Buy dampened concerns high inflation would lead to a dismal holiday shopping season while a bounce in oil prices helped lift energy shares.  Best Buy Co Inc (BBY.N) shot up 12.78% as the best performing stock on the S&P 500 (.SPX) index, after the retailer forecast a smaller drop in annual sales than previously announced and expressed confidence a ramp up in deals and discounts will entice more customers.  The gains in Best Buy helped boost the S&P 500 retail (.SPXRT) index 1.21%.  In contrast, Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR.O) tumbled 7.79% as the worst performing S&P 500 component, which also capped gains for the retail index as the discount retailer cut its annual profit forecast for the second time.

"If you take the continuum of income and consumers out there, the upper half of that is relatively inelastic to some costs going up to some extent or another where the bottom half is going to be more sensitive," said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago.  "So the Dollar Trees of the world really don’t have much ability to pass through those costs so they are going to get hit pretty bad."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 397.82 points, or 1.18%, to 34,098.1, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 53.64 points, or 1.36%, to 4,003.58 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 149.90 points, or 1.36%, to 11,174.41.  The S&P 500 closed at its highest level since Sept. 12.

Also providing support was the energy sector, which climbed 3.18% after two sessions of declines as Saudi Arabia said OPEC+ was sticking with outputs cuts, shooting down a report on Monday that said the alliance was considering increasing output which sent crude prices sharply lower.

As investors continue to try and gauge the path of Federal Reserve rate hikes, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester reiterated on Tuesday that lowering inflation remains critical for the central bank, a day after supporting a smaller rate hike in December. Kansas City President Esther George said the central bank may need to boost interest rates to a higher level and hold them there for longer in order to temper consumer demand and cool inflation.  Investors were also awaiting remarks by St. Louis Fed Reserve President James Bullard on Tuesday ahead of the minutes from the Fed's November meeting scheduled for Wednesday.

Volume was light for the session and is likely to dwindle heading into the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, with the U.S. stock market open for a half-session on Friday.  Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.45 billion shares, compared with the 11.75 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Dow component Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA.O) rose 2.96% after Cowen & Co upgraded the drug distributor stock, citing its healthcare services business push.  Manchester United (MANU.N) shares jumped late in the session after Sky News reported the Glazer family, which owns the football club, was exploring financial options that could include an outright sale, and closed 14.66% higher.  Agilent Technologies Inc (A.N) climbed 8.08% after the application-focused solutions company posted upbeat fourth-quarter revenue.  Declines in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields also helped support risk appetite.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.40-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.56-to-1 ratio favored advancers.  The S&P 500 posted 24 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 108 new highs and 224 new lows.