U.S. stocks end higher, Meta jumps as investors eye midterms

OMG, speak of cynicism, today was the ultimate!  Ordinarily political gridlock would be considered anathema to the market – and to the country at large.  But today – not to Wall Street!  With high expectations that the Republicans will win at least one house in Congress on Tuesday, stocks rallied big time in the high hopes that if the Republicans do prevail, there will be gridlock for the remainder of Biden’s term.  This is to say, as stated by today’s expert, “That would probably take tax hikes off the table, and any sort of big spending potentially perceived as inflationary off the table.”  

Forget about the fact that gridlock also means that nothing good happens either, it is the height of cynicism that investors are actually happy about the prospect of nothing getting done for the foreseeable future.  The good news is that trading was light at just 10.5 billion, obviously everyone hedging against the election not going their way after all. 

Mon 11-7-22  November 7, 2022  6:37 PM

U.S. stocks end higher, Meta jumps as investors eye midterms

By Noel Randewich and Amruta Khandekar

DJ: 32,403.22  +401.97        NAS: 10,475.25  +132.31        S&P: 3,770.55  +50.66     11/4

DJ: 32,827.00  +423.78        NAS: 10,564.52  +89.27          S&P: 3,806.80  +36.25     11/7

Nov 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street ended sharply higher Monday as investors focused on Tuesday's midterm elections that will determine control of Congress, while shares of Meta Platforms jumped on a report of job cuts at the Facebook parent.  Republicans are favored to win a majority in the House of Representatives in the elections, with the Senate rated a toss-up by nonpartisan forecasters. Republicans could use a majority in either chamber to hinder Democratic President Joe Biden's agenda.

"The likelihood that the Republicans take the House or the Senate is pretty high, therefore guaranteeing some form of gridlock over the next couple of years. That would probably take tax hikes off the table, and any sort of big spending potentially perceived as inflationary off the table," said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird.

Meta Platforms Inc (META.O) jumped over 6% following a report that the company was planning to begin large-scale layoffs this week. The stock has slumped more than 70% so far this year.  Recently beaten-down shares of Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Google-parent Alphabet (GOOGL.O) each rallied more than 2% and contributed heavily to the S&P 500's gain for the session.

Focus this week will also be on U.S. consumer prices data for October, due out on Thursday, for clues about how much the U.S. Federal Reserve's rapid interest rate hikes are helping cool down the economy.  Four Fed policymakers on Friday indicated they would consider a smaller rate hike at their next policy meeting, despite new data showing another month of robust job gains and only small signs of progress in lowering inflation.

Traders are divided about whether the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points or 75 basis points at the U.S. central bank's meeting in December.

"All else equal, whether the terminal rate sits at 4.5%, 5% or beyond, monetary policy is poised to have a negative effect on the economy heading into 2023," Glenmede's investment strategists wrote in a note on Monday.

Unofficially, the S&P 500 climbed 0.96% to end the session at 3,806.90 points.  The Nasdaq gained 0.85% to 10,564.52 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.31% to 32,827.00 points.  Of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, eight rose, led by communication services (.SPLRCL) which was up 1.83%, followed by a 1.73% gain in energy (.SPNY).  All the three major U.S. indexes have slumped this year, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq (.IXIC) down 33% due to worries that aggressive monetary policy tightening could cripple the U.S. economy.

Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC.O) surged 66% after former U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at another White House bid. The blank-check firm has agreed to take social-media startup Trump Media & Technology Group Corp public.  Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc (WBA.O) gained 4.1% after VillageMD, a primary care provider backed by the pharmacy chain, said it will acquire Summit Health in a deal valued at nearly $9 billion.

Advancing issues outnumbered falling ones within the S&P 500 (.AD.SPX) by a 2.8-to-one ratio.  The S&P 500 posted 18 new highs and 15 new lows; the Nasdaq recorded 93 new highs and 221 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was relatively light, with 10.5 billion shares traded, compared to an average of 11.8 billion shares over the previous 20 sessions.