The virus we have limited control over but complete control over the response. So the market today sent the message to Congress – Get With It! The S&P is now down 34% from the February high and the predicted plunge in Q2 GDP has changed dramatically in the past few days, today declared by Goldman Sachs at 24%, putting us on the path for our worst month since World War II, another trigger for the continued selloff. A few days ago we were just having our worst month since 2008, so quickly are things changing. Volume was 15.7 billion indicating selling is dying down just a little bit. The Surgeon General says this is going to be a very grim week. It sure looks that way.
mon
MARCH 23, 2020 / 4:17 pm
Historic Fed boost fails to stop Wall Street's virus-driven
sell-off
DJ:
19,173.98 -913.21 NAS: 6,879.52
-271.06 S&P: 2,304.92
-104.47 3/20
DJ: 18,591.93 -582.05 NAS: 6,860.67 -18.84 S&P: 2,237.40
-67.52 3/23
(Reuters) - Wall Street’s
slide deepened on Monday as the rapidly spreading coronavirus forced more U.S.
states into lockdown, overshadowing unprecedented moves by the U.S. Federal
Reserve to shore up credit across the economy.
After recently cutting interest rates to near zero, the Fed will now
lend against student loans and credit card loans, as well as back the purchase
of corporate bonds and make direct loans to companies. Announcement of the extraordinary measures
briefly lifted U.S. stock index futures before Monday's trading session began,
but the mounting death toll from COVID-19 and a tide of lockdowns more U.S. states
quickly sent the main indexes into the red, putting the S&P 500 .SPX on pace for its worst month since World War
Two.
“What the Fed did is important
because it does help in the credit markets. But it’s not enough from an equity market perspective,”
said Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Robert W. Baird in Milwaukee.
“What we now need is
leadership out of Congress to pass some sort of stimulus bill, because
what the Fed’s doing is relieving some problems, but it doesn’t do enough to
solve to solve what’s out there.”
Investors had hoped the U.S. Senate would clear a $1
trillion-plus coronavirus stimulus package over the weekend, but Democrats and
Republicans were still scrambling to come to an agreement. Maryland, Ohio, Louisiana and Delaware joined New York and California
in asking people to stay home, foreshadowing a near halt in economic
activity and more pain for U.S. equities, and prompting several analysts to
slash their growth forecasts.
Goldman Sachs expects an outright contraction in
global real gross domestic product in 2020 on the back of a 24% plunge in U.S. real GDP in
the second quarter: two-and-a-half times as large as the previous
post-war record. The S&P 500 has
experienced a $9 trillion wipeout to its value since the benchmark index hit a
record high last month. A rush for safe-haven assets like government bonds
caused U.S. Treasury yields to fall on Monday.
The S&P
500 is down about 34% from its February record high, its lowest level
since fears of the coronavirus swept across Wall Street.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a
3.18-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.62-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs
and 224 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded two new highs and 525 new
lows.
Volume
on U.S. exchanges was 15.7 billion shares, just shy of the 15.8 billion-share
average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
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